Latest Research
First Word
Wall of worry keeps growing given $ORCL and Venezuela. But the risk/reward still positive into year-end.
Equity markets are churning so far in December and stocks seem to feel "heavy" (meaning, it takes a lot to make a stock rise, but...
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Crypto - Crypto Strategy
2026 Crypto Outlook: Near-Term Headwinds, Second-Half Upside
Thank you to everyone who joined my annual outlook call today. Below are several high-level takeaways, along with the latest Core Strategy and Crypto Equity...
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Daily Technical Strategy
December 2025 turning out similar to last year but Tech getting close to low
TECHNICAL TRENDS FOR US EQUITIES ARE BULLISH, BUT THE DECLINE IN THE LARGE-CAP TECHNOLOGY SECTOR HAS CONTINUED TO WEIGH DOWN SPX AND QQQ OVER THE...
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First to Market
This Many Federal Jobs Haven't Been Lost in a Year Since 1953
CHART OF THE DAY GOOD MORNING! A steep drop in federal employment is the biggest contributor to this year’s languid job market. Investors’ lukewarm reaction...
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Daily Technical Strategy
NVDA cycle looks to be close to turning back higher
TECHNICAL TRENDS FOR US EQUITIES ARE BULLISH, BUT THE LARGE-CAP TECHNOLOGY SECTOR HAS CONTINUED TO WEIGH DOWN SPX AND QQQ, AND SHOULD BE NEARLY COMPLETE. ...
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First to Market
Meet The Fed Chair Contenders: Kevin and Also Kevin
CHART OF THE DAY GOOD MORNING! The race for who’ll become the central bank chair for the world’s largest economy was rearranged again, and in...
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Crypto - Comments
Tax-Loss Harvesting Dampens the Odds of a Santa Rally
DISCUSSED IN TODAY'S VIDEO:BTC WAS REJECTED AGAIN AT THE YEARLY OPEN (~$93.4K) as broader risk assets roll over, with crypto following and alts leading to the...
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Daily Technical Strategy
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This week is a heavy data week with Nov/Oct jobs and Nov CPI, and a weak jobs moves forward Fed "put" = good
Video_: _At the halfway point for December, equity markets are flat and we still expect a year-end rally towards S&P 500 7,000-7,300. There may be...
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US Policy
Congress Pushes to Year-End Finish
Congress is scheduled to wrap up its business for 2025 this week and then head home until the new year. They face the deadline for...
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