Outlooks
2026 OUTLOOK (Lee): Wall of Skepticism + New Fed, S&P 500 Year-end 7,700
PLEASE JOIN US TOMORROW AT 1PM ET FOR OUR 2026 YEAR AHEAD OUTLOOK. Register HERE. Video_: _Please tune into our 2026 Outlook webinar. At the...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Dec FOMC rate decision, even if a "hawkish cut," still has bullish implications and is a clearing event
Video_: _We expect stocks to rally post-FOMC, despite what is widely expected to be a hawkish cut. That is, the Fed will likely raise the...
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First Word
A "hawkish cut" is consensus for Wed FOMC, but this is also a "market clearing" event, hence, December rally still intact.
We still expect the S&P 500 to finish 2025 achieving new all-time highs, reaching 7,000-7,300. But the path seems labored, and in the first days...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 2025 is another year where '10 best days' came into play. Ex-10 best days, S&P 500 is -12%, which explains why investors have been bearish all year
Video_: _Investors have been bearish for 75% of the weeks in 2025, based upon AAII. We believe this reflects the fact that many investors sold...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 6 reasons to expect a rally in Dec, and history shows odds even higher after a 'flat/down' Nov
Video_: _We discuss how December is shaping up to be a strong month. While stocks have felt shaky due to the November declines and also...
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