Celestia

$TIA

This week is shaping up to be a significant one on the macro front, with the JOLTS report on Tuesday, the FOMC meeting and Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcement (QRA) on Wednesday, PMIs on Thursday, and jobs data on Friday. Despite a downward trend in rates today, possibly hinting at the Fed's tone this week, DXY is climbing, largely due to a weakening Euro. In the equities market, major indices are...

$BTC is trading near $44k, recovering some of its losses after yesterday’s leverage flush sent prices down 9% from $45k to a low of $40.8k. $ETH is performing in line with $BTC, rising 2.3% to ~$2.3k. U.S equities are relatively flat from yesterday, with the S&P gaining 0.1% while the Nasdaq was down 0.12%. Layer-1 tokens $SOL and $AVAX show the most strength among the top 10, gaining 3.9% and...

Equities are mixed today but on track for the seventh straight week of gains, the longest winning streak since 2017. The Nasdaq gained .38% while the S&P fell .49%. Both indices are in striking distance of all-time highs following comments from Fed officials about inflation coming down and potential rate cuts in 2024. $BTC has pulled back to $41.8k, down 3.3% after facing resistance at $43.4k. $ETH is performing in...

On Sunday evening, the perps market experienced a low liquidity liquidation cascade, eliminating about $2.7 billion in open interest (source: CoinGlass) across all coins. We interpret this as a healthy purge of some overleveraged traders, and any immediate market weakness should be viewed as an opportunity to buy on dips. $BTC found support at last week's low and has since recovered about half of last night's dip. Today, our focus...

Equities, initially in the red, have rallied with the QQQ up by around 20 basis points and the SPX nearing breakeven. The DXY is trending downwards, aiming for its lowest close since August amid another day of lower rates, which is easing the burden on crypto-related equities like COIN, now trading around $120 and nearing another year-to-date high. The recent Binance crackdown also benefits Coinbase, potentially boosting its market share...

Stocks are lower today but still on pace to close three straight weeks of gains. The S&P fell 0.1%, while the Nasdaq lost 0.25%. Softer-than-expected inflation data has buoyed equities, but the question is whether investors have seen enough to continue the momentum. Yields were mixed as the 2Y gained 1%, the 10Y was up 0.5%, and the 30Y fell 0.11%. The 2Y and 10Y rates briefly touched lows not...

The crypto market is currently consolidating, following last week's rally buoyed by positive developments like BlackRock's application for a spot ETH ETF. Bitcoin is hovering around $36.8k, while Ethereum aims to break above the $2100 mark. Amidst this sideways price action in the majors, select altcoins such as $TIA, Celestia's data availability layer token, and $FIL, Filecoin's native token, continue to exhibit strength. The potential SEC approval of 19b-4 applications...

TREASURY REFUNDING AND ITS IMPACT ON ASSET PRICES The bond market has been experiencing notable volatility, predominantly due to a phenomenon known as a bear steepening. This situation arises when short-term interest rates remain stable, but long-term rates rise precipitously. We attribute this volatility largely to an increase in the supply of long-duration assets, propelled by a growing budget deficit and the expectation of ongoing Treasury issuances. While this bond...