Solana
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Equities are advancing again after reaching new all-time highs last week, buoyed by a pullback in interest rates. Despite this positive trend in equities, gold prices have dipped, and the broader crypto market, including $BTC, continues to face downward pressure. BTC is steadfastly maintaining the $40,000 level as its support, while $ETH has retraced its recent rally to $2,700, now trading at $2,350. This retreat is mirrored in the broader...
OUTLOOK OVERVIEW Thank you to everyone who joined our annual outlook call this week. We were fortunate to have a lot of success last year in helping our clients and subscribers navigate the crypto market and we look forward to leveling up again this year. For those who missed the outlook, the replay is now available, along with the deck, but a quick summary of our outlook is below.Big Takeaway:...
INITIAL THOUGHTS ON ETF LAUNCHES The past week has marked a pivotal moment in the evolution of the crypto industry, a testament to the remarkable journey of an asset class that emerged from a distrubuted community of open source software developers just 15 years ago. This was evidenced by the successful launch of all 11 eligible Bitcoin ETFs on Thursday morning. Assessing the success of an ETF launch is a...
Bitcoin continues to slowly chop higher ahead of this week's highly anticipated decision from the SEC regarding the Bitcoin spot ETF. On Friday, issuers submitted their final 19b-4 forms, and this morning, all the S-1 forms were filed, offering a glimpse into the emerging fee war. Bitcoin is currently trading just above $46k. Meanwhile, $ETH is up 4%, reclaiming the $2300 level. Following a mild pullback across the altcoin market,...
QUICK RECAP First and foremost, we would like to extend a Happy New Year to all our clients and subscribers. The past year was indeed eventful, marked by banking crises, significant court victories, and BlackRock's foray into the sector – truly a remarkable journey. Our Core Strategy, though it lagged behind the King, performed well. This was particularly supported by the strong performance of our altcoin basket in Q4. We...
Risk assets received another shot in the arm today, with core PCE data registering at just 0.06%, well below the 0.20% consensus estimate. This has led to a continuation of the downward trend in the DXY. Both the SPX and QQQ are up on the day, and gold is edging closer to new YTD highs. In crypto markets, there's been a significant rotation into ETH L2s this morning, especially $OP...
LET IT FLOW As we approach the holiday weekend and the final week of the year, which is typically marked by lower liquidity due to many stepping away from their desks, one might expect to see a dialing back of risk and a slowdown in trading volumes. However, contrary to these expectations, most data suggest animal spirits seem poised for a rally through the New Year. CME futures data, the...
3AC Creditors May Receive 46% Recovery Rate, PancakeSwap Proposes 40% Supply Reduction
U.S. equity indices are rising today after yesterdayâs late afternoon sell-off. The SPY and QQQ are both up over 0.70% following the Q3 GDP report showing 4.9% growth vs. 5.2% expected, moving the probability of a rate cut in March to 72.7%. Crypto markets are mixed, with $BTC (-0.22%) showing modest declines while $ETH is up approximately 1% on the day. $SOL (+7.74%) is outperforming today as lately DeFi activity...
OI RINSE TO START THE WEEK This week the crypto market started off with a bang, marked by a liquidations-driven downturn on Sunday evening. The perpetual futures market witnessed a low liquidity liquidation cascade that wiped out approximately $2.7 billion in open interest across all cryptoassets, according to data from CoinGlass. At the time, we perceived this event as a normal cleansing of overleveraged weekend positions and viewed any immediate...
BITCOIN ($BTC) “CRYPTO-WINTER” LOOKS TO BE OVER. A BULLISH 2024 LOOKS LIKELY TECHNICALLY FOLLOWING A 1Q CONSOLIDATION. Bitcoin looks to be giving off strong signals that the crypto-winter that has kept most coins in bear markets over the last couple years has finally run its course. The act of having taken the lead ahead of many cryptocurrencies in finally surpassing the 50% retracement area of its entire decline from 2021...
CHALLENGING THE ACCUSATIONS OF FROTH Amidst the recent sharp rally in the crypto market, investors who weathered the prolonged bear market are understandably cautious, keeping a close watch for any signs of excess. Despite the violence in the most recent rally, we believe it's too early to declare the market as overbought. Our assessment is based on several factors:Perpetual futures data indicates a relatively modest level of long speculation, especially...
