After months of polls and campaigning, former President Trump showed that he indeed is the leader of the Republican Party and will likely be the nominee. An interesting tidbit: Donald Trump will be the third major party candidate to be nominated three times. The other two are FDR and Richard Nixon. If neither Haley nor DeSantis breakthrough in NH I would expect them both to dropout and endorse Trump.

As discussed below Speaker Johnson has declared that any Senate immigration/border deal that falls short of the House immigration bill, HR 2, will not pass the House.  Trump’s move towards the nomination will strengthen his position as the titular head of the Party and increase his role in any big deal on immigration/border and Ukraine/Israel funding.  Speaker Johnson will likely need a Trump endorsement to close big deals.

Budget deadline

When the Congress approved the current Continuing Resolution (CR) they accepted the idea of the newly minted Speaker Mike Johnson to have a two-tier deadline for the 12 budget bills.  The first covers the less critical bills: Ag, Energy and Water, MilCon-VA, Transportation and HUD that are scheduled to expire and cause a government shutdown on Friday.  Under the deal announced over the weekend the Friday deadline wil...
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