This document is being provided publicly in the following form. Please subscribe to FSInsight.com for more.
Fundamental equity managers want to know…what’s up with these violent rotations?
I just completed a two-day roadshow meeting with our institutional investor clients in Boston/ Providence. The good news is that I found multiple instances where my fundamental equity long-only clients widened their YTD relative performance in the month of August (they bought the dip!). But a few issues seemed to keep popping up.
Foremost on their minds, at the moment, is a fundamental explanation for the violent rotations seen in the past few days, meaning significant shifts in (i) small-caps up >1% 3 days in a row after selling off 7% in August; (ii) rotation out of secular growth into cyclical stocks (cloud vs semis); (iii) reversal of high P/E secular growers vs low P/E value within sectors; (iv) surge in graveyard/zombie sectors plus the macro reversals of: (i) interest rate increase and (ii) gold sell-offs. Anecdotes include: “it seems like all sector and factor bets are now just a function of interest rate moves” and another “suddenly, the market changed its mind about secular growth at any price.”
This research is for the clients of FSInsight only. FSI Subscription entitles the subscriber to 1 user, research cannot be shared or redistributed. For additional information, please contact your sales representative or FSInsight at fsinsight.com.
This research contains the views, opinions and recommendations of FSInsight. At the time of publication of this report, FSInsight does not know of, or have reason to know of any material conflicts of interest.
FSInsight is an independent research company and is not a registered investment advisor and is not acting as a broker dealer under any federal or state securities laws.
FSInsight is a member of IRC Securities’ Research Prime Services Platform. IRC Securities is a FINRA registered broker-dealer that is focused on supporting the independent research industry. Certain personnel of FSInsight (i.e. Research Analysts) are registered representatives of IRC Securities, a FINRA member firm registered as a broker-dealer with the Securities and Exchange Commission and certain state securities regulators. As registered representatives and independent contractors of IRC Securities, such personnel may receive commissions paid to or shared with IRC Securities for transactions placed by FSInsight clients directly with IRC Securities or with securities firms that may share commissions with IRC Securities in accordance with applicable SEC and FINRA requirements. IRC Securities does not distribute the research of FSInsight, which is available to select institutional clients that have engaged FSInsight.
As registered representatives of IRC Securities our analysts must follow IRC Securities’ Written Supervisory Procedures. Notable compliance policies include (1) prohibition of insider trading or the facilitation thereof, (2) maintaining client confidentiality, (3) archival of electronic communications, and (4) appropriate use of electronic communications, amongst other compliance related policies.
FSInsight does not have the same conflicts that traditional sell-side research organizations have because FSInsight (1) does not conduct any investment banking activities, and (2) does not manage any investment funds.
This research is for the clients of FSInsight only. Additional information is available upon request. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but FSInsight does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to FSInsight and the analyst’s involvement (if any) with any of the subject companies of the research. All pricing is as of the market close for the securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual client circumstances, risk tolerance, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. The recipient of this report must make its own independent decision regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. Except in circumstances where FSInsight expressly agrees otherwise in writing, FSInsight is not acting as a municipal advisor and the opinions or views contained herein are not intended to be, and do not constitute, advice, including within the meaning of Section 15B of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All research reports are disseminated and available to all clients simultaneously through electronic publication to our internal client website, fsinsight.com. Not all research content is redistributed to our clients or made available to third-party aggregators or the media. Please contact your sales representative if you would like to receive any of our research publications.
Copyright © 2021 FSInsight LLC. All rights reserved. No part of this material may be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the prior written consent of FSInsight LLC.