iShares 20 Plus Year Treasury Bond ETF

  • TLT

  • $88.31

  • +0.57%

  • $88.53

  • $88.91

  • $88.29

Ticker Appearances

Live Technical Stock Analysis
Thu, December 5, 2024 | 4:00PM ET
Mark
Mark L. Newton, CMT AC

Head of Technical Strategy

LIVE Technical Stock Analysis December 2024

Mark will be conducting a live Webinar session for the most popular stocks requested by our subscribers. Mark will give his quick take (45 sec-1-minute...

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Tue, November 19, 2024 | 2:53PM ET

⚡ FlashInsights

Tue, November 19, 2024 | 2:53PM ET
Mark
Mark L. Newton, CMT AC

Head of Technical Strategy
🔥 🔥 🔥
TLT 0.57%  - 20 Year Treasury Bond Ishares ETF has jumped to multi-day highs today, and has confirmed two different counter-trend signs of exhaustion in the process (DeMark-based Indicators) which could be signaling a change of trend for Treasuries. I expect Treasuries to rally over the next 4-5 weeks, and both long rates and the US Dollar likely begin to turn lower. For now, this is just a minor technical improvement, but one which i believe should lead yields lower in the weeks to come. Treasuries look like an attractive risk/reward long, and i expect TLT should rise to 96.50 with an outside chance of 98.50
Tickers
Fri, November 1, 2024 | 11:32AM ET

⚡ FlashInsights

Fri, November 1, 2024 | 11:32AM ET
Mark
Mark L. Newton, CMT AC

Head of Technical Strategy
🔥 🔥 🔥
Most of today's Eco data gives reason for pause for those betting on higher rates, with this morning's weak labor data given headline payroll growth and revisions coming in much below expectations. While the hurricane and strike data is certainly responsible for some of this, it was a very narrow margin for Unemployment at 4.1% and household employment fell 368k. Treasuries started off strong but reversed, with yields pressing back to highs. Closing at/near today's highs in yields should lead to a bit more follow-through into the Election, but expect that 4.40-4.50 marks a very good area of upside resistance for TNX and don't mind betting on lower rates on a 1-2 month basis at current levels. For those looking for an ideal entry, that time probably comes next week and/or into mid-November. Elliott-wave interpretation of recent Treasury price action from a price (Not yield ) standpoint shows 30-Year yields getting very close to support which should lead to a big rally into year-end. Thus, TLT 0.57%  longs are favored for the final two months of the year, though entries might be better next week- Chart below is from Elliott-wave Forecast
Tickers
Wed, October 23, 2024 | 1:05PM ET

⚡ FlashInsights

Wed, October 23, 2024 | 1:05PM ET
Mark
Mark L. Newton, CMT AC

Head of Technical Strategy
🔥 🔥 🔥
I'm not sure if its correct to label the rise in Interest rates and US Dollar a "Trump Trade" per se, as these would normally turn higher given better economic data, but both are nearing peaks which i expect should be in place by the end of October. TLT likely will find strong support at 91-91.30 while DXY also might briefly exceed 105 before turning back down. The entire month of November is likely to coincide with the recent gains in US Dollar, Treasury yields and US Stocks all reversing lower, albeit temporarily. TLT 0.57%  chart shown here, and I'll discuss the reasoning for Yields to peak(Treasuries to bottom in tonight's report)
Tickers

Live Technical Stock Analysis
Thu, October 3, 2024 | 4:00PM ET
Mark
Mark L. Newton, CMT AC

Head of Technical Strategy

LIVE Technical Stock Analysis October 2024

Mark will be conducting a live Webinar session for the most popular stocks requested by our subscribers. Mark will give his quick take (45 sec-1-minute...

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