Wed November 10, 2021

Signal From Noise Updates

We update our thinking on $LYV given the return to profitability in recent earnings and the recent tragedy at the Astroworld Festival in Houston. Our thoughts and prayers are with...

Fri May 7, 2021

($MUDS) Mudrick Capital’s Topps Deal Is A Sensible SPAC with Cheap NFT Upside

What was your first experience with valuation and markets? Was it a college finance class? Perhaps if you're a millennial, the Global Financial Crisis aroused your interest. Some may have...

Fri April 16, 2021

COVID-19 UPDATE: Israel daily cases (per 1mm) now 26 vs 952 (Jan). ND and SD could see "obliteration" by June. Oil prices key to direction of Epicenter trade...

The lag between penetration of vaccines and cases falling is due to a few factors including the fact that vaccines take time to become effective.  And the broader fact, a...

Wed April 14, 2021

COVID-19 UPDATE: Multiple reasons J&J vaccine "pause" not a recovery setback. Epicenter stocks significantly underperformed since mid-March, but EPS revisions = good and Technicals, while damaged, are still positive

3 Deletions: $PBCT, $NVT, $VNO 13 Additions: $AZO, $HOG, $GRMN, $MGM, $WH, $GPS, $LB, $VIRT, $AGCO, $OC, $UBER. $EXP, $NUE 35 "POWER TRIFECTA" STOCKS IDEAS: Consumer Discretionary: $AZO, $HOG, $GRMN,...

Tue April 13, 2021

COVID-19 UPDATE: Global cases within 8% of all-time highs, even as USA down 80%. Energy down 8 of the last 10 days, in past 20 years >8 of last 10 days point to strong 3M gains

But as the global case count below shows, COVID-19 is still spreading wildly and prolifically across the World.  In fact, the 7-day avg cases of 670,000 (and rising rapidly) is...

Mon April 12, 2021

COVID-19 UPDATE: Michigan COVID-19 hospitalizations could surge to new highs in coming weeks. S&P 500 gains YTD explained by +6.4% revisions to 2021 EPS by Street

Is there a common thread to explain this? I am not entirely clear. And of these states, MI seems to be experiencing the worst of the surges. Gov Whitmer has...

Fri April 9, 2021

S&P 500 Ends Week at All-Time High, QQQ Leads Gains

Fri April 9, 2021

COVID Cases Stable, VIX and Credit Suggest Epicenter Upside

COVID-19 trends have been fairly stable in the past few weeks (vs the sharper declines in cases seen earlier in the year), but as we wrote about in recent weeks,...

Fri April 9, 2021

Epicenter – Stocks with Uncommon Value During Uncommon Times

This list was published in the FIRST WORD dated April 9, 2020. We’ve republished it here in order to highlight it for our valued subscribers. _STRATEGY: UPDATING EPICENTER TRIFECTA LIST  – 24...

Fri April 9, 2021

Top 35 “Power Epicenter Trifecta” Stock Ideas

This list was published in the FIRST WORD dated April 9, 2020. We’ve republished it here in order to highlight it for our valued subscribers. _STRATEGY: UPDATING OUR POWER TRIFECTA,...

Fri April 9, 2021

COVID-19 UPDATE: Death rates collapse when state vaccine penetration >33%. Even as equities favor "quality" trade, credit sticks with "cyclical" trade (hint, credit usually wins). Implies IWM $239

A positive recent development is that patients who have chronic ("long haul") COVID-19 symptoms seem to benefit from the vaccines. Multiple stories have emerged of formerly recovered, with severe symptoms,...