Thu November 30, 2023

The Shrinkage Problem: Retail Theft Could Lead to Investment Opportunities

As of publication, we are in the most important month of the year for retailers. And while many have been cautious in their public-facing expectations, the resilience of the economy...

Wed April 26, 2023

Equity markets bank into "bunker mode" in front of May FOMC but ATH in unemployment claims for over $200k earners = far softer wage growth ahead. April 2023 rebalance "Granny shots" net -3 (+7, -10).

Reminder, tune in this coming Thursday to an important webinar ___________________________________GRANNY SHOTS APRIL QUARTERLY REBALANCE TODAySEE BELOW FOR ADDS AND DELETES ___________________________________ Equity markets came under selling pressure on Tuesday,...

Wed February 22, 2023

Are US PMIs bottoming? If so, Industrials gain >90% of the time with 12M returns 20-30%. 5 stocks + 3 ETFs. While seasonals and "hotter" economic data drive risk-off, Fed becoming "data dependent" historically leads to rising stocks despite higher rates.

Following several somewhat "hotter" data prints, markets are now moving back into the "higher for longer" camp, and in turn, markets are shifting into risk-off. We think this will prove...

Mon January 30, 2023

Bond and equity volatilities at lowest levels since 2021 = supportive >20% rise in 2023. Updating "Granny shots" +12 adds (-12 deletes). 2023 YTD +39bp outperformance. 2022 +395bp outperformance. List adds attached.

The most important event in the coming week is the Feb FOMC decision (2/1). We will have more comprehensive thoughts on Wednesday, but as many are aware, we expect the...

Tue November 8, 2022

Two key scenarios to consider as uncertainty lingers

1 year ago Free Webinar Introducing Mark Newton’s Upticks Stock List Speaker: [Mark] Mark L. Newton, CMT AC Head of Technical Strategy Watch the Replay of the Webinar Watch the...