Mon January 30, 2023

Bond and equity volatilities at lowest levels since 2021 = supportive >20% rise in 2023. Updating "Granny shots" +12 adds (-12 deletes). 2023 YTD +39bp outperformance. 2022 +395bp outperformance. List adds attached.

The most important event in the coming week is the Feb FOMC decision (2/1). We will have more comprehensive thoughts on Wednesday, but as many are aware, we expect the...

Wed October 19, 2022

Updating "Granny shots": +9 additions, -5 deletions

Today is the October quarterly rebalance of our Granny Shots portfolio. The Granny Shots is a list of our core stock holdings, using 6 thematic/quantitative portfolios and is designed to...

Mon September 12, 2022

What Our Clients Are Talking About Behind The Scenes

FLASH COMMENTS: Well, here we go again.  The S&P 500 has begun another tactical oversold bounce after holding the 3900ish technical support level.  The U.S. Dollar also appears to have...

Fri July 29, 2022

The August 1982 moment: bear market "bottom" before Fed pivots -- if true, new highs coming sooner than most expect

The biggest takeaway for me on events of this week? Convincing and arguably decisive evidence the "bottom is in" -- the 2022 bear market is over.this was a big data...

Tue July 26, 2022

Discretionary looks close to bottoming out vs. Staples

The stall out and pullback in US Equities has accelerated further given $WMT’s profit warning and subsequent 8% + drop on Tuesday.  $NDX has taken the lead on this decline...

Mon July 25, 2022

After July FOMC, entire yield curve will be at or above "neutral rate" = optionality = 2H rally view intact

A big data week is ahead, with 3 major data incoming:7/27 is July FOMC --> +75bp is base case and few surprises expected7/28 2Q GDP --> investors expecting negative print...

Fri July 22, 2022

5 reasons equities rallying. Expanding breadth affirms 2022 "bottom" is in. P/E can expand with Fed hikes, as long as "shocks" are avoided. 2H rally.

We are starting to see strengthening internals for equity markets, including key leadership improvements from Technology ($QQQ) and small-caps ($IWM) and measures such as advance/decline lines. Thus, from the perspective...

Wed July 20, 2022

Roundtable takeaways: Proximity (if not already) at lows for bear. EPS risk lower than consensus expects. OW Tech/Growth.

If you missed our FSinsight Roundtable, - click HERE for the replay   ______________________________________________ _SUMMARY: ROUNDTABLE WITH GROUP HEADS, CONTRASTING AND HARMONIZING THE VIEWS ACROSS SECTOR HEADS_ We hosted a...

Mon July 18, 2022

Cooling "soft data" argues Fed playbook soon change to more predictable. In 1982, took only 4 mos to erase entire Volcker "bear market"

Most investors, based upon my conversations, remain skeptical that markets can find any footing, particularly in the face of continuing bad CPI reports. But I think investors are overlooking that...

Fri July 15, 2022

Despite a flat out bad June CPI report, Fed officials sound "measured" (vs "expeditious") ...arguably enabling equities to see "less bad"

In the 36 hours since the horrific June CPI report, equities have managed to better with Technology stocks managing gains.initial "hawkish" market reaction was to price near 100% odds of...

Thu July 14, 2022

Technicals on new Granny Shot additions

GRANNY SHOT STOCK LIST WITH SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE (ST= SHORT-TERM, IT=INTERMEDIATE-TERM)Source: Fundstrat, Bloomberg, Factset ABBOTT LABS ($ABT- $106.21)  Attractive to buy following a 21% decline over the last seven months...

Thu July 14, 2022

GRANNY SHOTS: July 2022 Update

We have updated our Granny Shots stock list for July 2022. There have been six deletions and eight additions. Our Granny Shots portfolio is comprised of stocks that qualify for...