Wed February 28

Cats as Oracles

A daily market update from FS Insight — what you need to know ahead of opening bell "The best way to predict the future is to create it." — Peter...

Tue February 27

Consumer Discretionary clawing back & worth watching

EQUITY TRENDS SHOW NO EVIDENCE OF WAVERING -  SPX TRENDS REMAIN POSITIVE AND PRICES HAVE PUSHED THROUGH THE PRESIDENTS’ DAY WEEKEND WITH LITTLE TO NO REAL EVIDENCE OF TREND FAILURE. ...

Tue December 19, 2023

Best Discretionary stocks to favor technically for bounce into 2024

Technically the broad-based participation higher in multiple sectors in the last month is certainly a positive heading into 2024. While near-term risk/reward doesn’t seem favorable for those with timeframes less...

Wed June 28, 2023

Latest Case-Shiller + Rent point to future lower CPI = plz Fed, look forward. WFH + cruise + builders + Bitcoin show FAANG isn't the only group breaking Consensus "rules." 11 Industrial stock ideas.

WORD OF NOTE: I AM VISITING CLIENTS IN JAPAN THIS WEEK, AND UPDATES LESS COMPLETE GIVEN SCHEDULE The main event this week is Friday June 30th, when we get the...

Mon December 5, 2022

Flat equities after "hot" Nov jobs report shows stocks proving more resilient than consensus expects... why is S&P 500 drawdown worse than Germany, China or Japan? Still see rally into YE towards 4,400-4,500

The strong November jobs report (on 12/2) of +263k vs 200k consensus (plus strong wage growth) gave markets every excuse to sell off sharply:Strong jobs = Fed needs to tighten...

Fri December 2, 2022

Amidst a Backdrop of Other Developments, Powell’s Comments Spark a Good Week for Equities

Ordinarily, many investors would have been focused on the retail sector this week. If we consider Thanksgiving to be the official beginning to the holiday shopping season, this year saw...

Fri December 2, 2022

The inflation crisis of 2022 made investors focus solely on danger, not opportunity. Powell signaling time to look at latter. YE rally to be fueled by Tech + Small-caps + High P/E + Heavily Shorted

I am on my way to Tokyo/Osaka for a few days, traveling with SMBC Nikko, which is our business partner in Japan. Japan is one of my favorite countries to...

Thu September 15, 2022

“Cash is King” until October

Thursday failed to bring much relief, as SPX, DJIA and NASDAQ all closed at the lowest prices in more than a month.   US 10-year Treasury yields barely missed hitting new...

Tue February 1, 2022

Re-opening Trade looks to be kicking into gear

Technical Strategy Video: https://vimeo. com/672539194/40d1251ba2 SPX 3-day gain has recouped more than 50% of the weakness from early JanuaryRe-opening Trade looks to be kicking into gear, with sharp gains...

Mon October 18, 2021

Homebuilders "golden 6 months" starts October 20th --> worked 10 of last 12 years --> case stronger in 2021. 10 stocks

Fortunately, there are no signs yet, of an upturn in cases stemming from the arrival of colder weather.  As shown below, the USA overall positivity rate is still sinking.  It...