Wed October 25, 2023

What’s needed to think a Market Low could be imminent, or is in place

BREAKDOWN IN SPX AND QQQ HAVE POSTPONED AN IMMEDIATE TECH-LED REBOUND, BUT EVEN AFTER WEDNESDAY’S WEAKNESS THE NEAR-TERM SELLOFF LIKELY DOES NOT HAVE MORE THAN 2-3 DAYS BEFORE FINDING AN...

Tue August 22, 2023

Can NVDA save the market?

US EQUITY AND TREASURY MARKETS LIKELY BOTTOM IN THE NEXT 1-2 WEEKS AND BREAKS OF CURRENT DOWNTREND LINES WOULD SUGGEST AN INITIAL BOTTOM IS IN PLACE.  AT PRESENT, INSUFFICIENT TECHNICAL...

Mon April 17, 2023

Stocks up 65% of the past 20 trading days, highest since Nov 2021, and a reason it is starting to "feel like a bull market." We expect 1Q23 EPS to exceed expectations, likely 2H23 trough in EPS = supporting strengthening breadth.

The S&P 500 is up 8% YTD (~+20% in the past 6 months) and at this pace, is annualizing returns of ~30% -- that is not our forecast. And as...

Fri April 14, 2023

Financials strength should be a positive for the back half of April

Despite the mild pullback to take away some of Thursday’s strong gains, this week managed to close firmly positive for both the SPX and DJIA for the fourth week of...

Wed March 29, 2023

Aftershocks part 3: Ripples still widening. Technology borrowing costs now 63bp LOWER than banks and VIX closed below 20 1st time since SVB.

It has been nearly 3 weeks since the sudden failure of SVB and the aftershocks continue. The biggest impact from the banking crisis is the market's expectations for Fed policy...

Mon March 27, 2023

Even as banking crisis still expanding, FAANG/Tech nearly recovered entire 2022 losses

The scope of the banking crisis continues to edge wider, with additional regional banks seeing pressure by investors (bonds well under par) and over the weekend, a Bloomberg article noted...

Wed March 15, 2023

SVB informs clients "back to business" yet carnage in FRC bonds, CITI+CS CDS (blowout) and KRE banks down 20% = Monetary Policy is finally "biting" = Fed can take foot off the gas. Ex-FAANG, S&P 500 P/E 14.3X ('24E), not demanding.

On Monday evening, the new CEO of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) sent an email to clients informing them SVB "is open and conducting business as usual." I mean anyone would...

Tue July 26, 2022

Live Techincal Stock Analysis July 2022

Mark will be conducting a live Webinar session for the most popular stocks requested by our subscribers. Mark will give his quick take (45 sec-1-minute of analysis) and consider several...

Fri March 4, 2022

Precious Metals start to shine, while Financials lie at key levels

This past week’s decline marks the sixth straight week of weakness out of the last nine weeks.  However, as has been discussed, price action has actually held up remarkably well...