Mon April 29

Stocks survive "fragility test" of April. Roadmap for May more constructive = recovery towards S&P 5,200

VIDEO: Stocks likely fare better in May, after surviving the "fragility test" in April.  Also, lots of important macro data this week Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration:...

Mon April 15

The coming week is an important "fragility test" for markets as equities sit at 50dma. While de-risking is "knee jerk" response, this dip will likely be bought. In contrast to 2022 Ukraine-war eve, Fed is dovish.

VIDEO: The market faces an important fragility test this week, but to us, the key lies in the amount of required de-leveraging and also Fed stance. Please click below to view...

Wed April 10

We are still buying dips (even these baby dips). March CPI could be upside catalyst for stocks to break this 18 day consolidation.

VIDEO: Stocks have been rangebound for 18 days now.  March CPI could be upside catalyst on a good reading Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:10). https://vimeo. com/932666595/20a87a6308? share=copy Equities...

Mon April 8

Last week's market "stress test" reveals investors lean bearish. Wed is first "clean" CPI (March) in 2024, and likely a positive catalyst for equities.

VIDEO: The first "clean" CPI report is released Wed (March CPI) and we expect this to show the prevailing trend -- that inflation is falling like a rock Please click below...

Fri April 5

Equities soft into March jobs report (Friday). The 6 most recent instances of weak into jobs day saw strong gains 1-week and 1-month later (5 of 6 times). We expect similar.

VIDEO: Thursday afternoon sell-off of 2% is creating a buying opportunity into Friday's jobs report.  There are 6 times stocks fell 1-day and 1-week into the jobs report.  5 of 6...

Wed April 3

5 reasons we are buying this "inflation-fear" 2-day dip. Wed could be the turning date higher.

VIDEO: We discuss the 5 reasons we are buying this 2-day dip.  Probabilities favor a turn upwards Wed Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 04:01). https://vimeo. com/930087070/3416b886fb? share=copy Ever...

Wed March 20

5 reasons we expect stocks to rally post-FOMC (Wed 2pm ET). Technicals positive and hence, still "gas in the tank"

VIDEO: We see 5 reasons stocks rally post-FOMC, even if the Fed sounds cautious on the progress of inflation. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 04:19). https://vimeo....

Fri March 15

Still in a buy the dip regime as still "gas in the tank". Money market cash reaches record $6.1T. Of $1.2T rise in past year, only $234 billion is bank deposit flight.

VIDEO: We are still in a buy the dip regime.  The fact that money market cash again rose to an all-time high is bullish for stocks. Please click below to...

Mon March 11

Probabilities suggest "hot" Feb core CPI above consensus of +0.30%. Jan "hot" CPI drove a 3% sell-off. But with "gas in the tank," this is a buy the dip moment.

VIDEO: February CPI is reported on Tuesday. I think there’s a risk that it’s a hot number, but it’s probably similar to January when you wanted to buy that 3%...

Wed March 6

Stocks wobble to start the week: too early to say "no gas left in tank." But, this is a maturing rally at 19 weeks and +26% gains.

VIDEO: This is the first time in awhile that stocks fell on "good news" -- yields fell, and stocks down.  We know there is a lot of important macro in...

Fri March 1

Exiting Feb, S&P 500 +7% YTD. Next key decision point is Feb CPI on March 12. Beware of "residual seasonality"

VIDEO: We discuss how the key date is likely March 12, Feb CPI day.  The key is the residual seasonal problem in Jan often spills into Feb Please click below to...