Mon April 1

Materials sector raised to Overweight as commodity rally gains momentum

I CONTINUE TO SEE THE US STOCK MARKET AS BEING ATTRACTIVE, TECHNICALLY SPEAKING, AND DO NOT FEEL SUFFICIENT RISK IS THERE TO WARRANT A SELLOFF AT THIS TIME. WHILE PRICE...

Mon April 17, 2023

Stocks up 65% of the past 20 trading days, highest since Nov 2021, and a reason it is starting to "feel like a bull market." We expect 1Q23 EPS to exceed expectations, likely 2H23 trough in EPS = supporting strengthening breadth.

The S&P 500 is up 8% YTD (~+20% in the past 6 months) and at this pace, is annualizing returns of ~30% -- that is not our forecast. And as...

Wed April 5, 2023

Aftershocks part 4: 1Q2023 EPS season will show whether economy or inflation broke. Fed running out of reasons to hike rates in 2023 given JOLTS/PCE/ISM/Dallas Survey.

SKIP MONDAY <– Easter SKIP TUESDAY Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY SKIP FRIDAY <– GOOD FRIDAY Based on my recent meetings, it is obvious institutional investors are waiting to see what broke...

Tue January 17, 2023

Upticks - January 2023

HAPPY NEW YEAR TO ALL! UPDATE 2023 has gotten underway with a far more robust rally than many were expecting to kick off the new year.  Some of this has...

Thu December 8, 2022

Upticks - December 2022

HAPPY HOLIDAYS TO ALL ! UPDATE 2022 has been a challenging year for many investors with most having clearly held onto Technology stocks too long before finally abandoning in May...

Wed November 9, 2022

Upticks - November 2022

UPDATE/INTRODUCTION History shows Sir Isaac Newton not only to have excelled as a mathematician and physicist, but also to be a skilled astronomer, alchemist, theologian, and author. Many who have...

Thu June 23, 2022

Commodity weakness broadening, but could bottom out in July

The bounce in US equities in recent days finished the day on a strong note, giving hope that a bit more is in store before prices stall out.  As discussed...

Wed January 5, 2022

SPX breaks support as Tech weakness spreads to broader market

Technical Strategy Video: https://vimeo. com/662809726/af65efdf14 SPX break to multi-day lows was accentuated by Technology’s declineValue continuing to make inroads vs Growth- While Large-Cap Growth was far better than Value...

Wed December 29, 2021

Omicron is eradicating a more dangerous variant. After a +27% year, history implies S&P 500 2022 5,400-5,600 = our base case is conservative

We publish on a 4-day a week schedule: Monday Tuesday Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY SKIP FRIDAY - NEW YEAR'S DAY HOLIDAY SKIP NEXT MONDAY - NEW YEAR'S DAY HOLIDAY This is...

Tue December 28, 2021

USA hospitalization rates are rolling over hard = sign worst of Omicron severity over? Equities have bottomed well ahead of hospitalization peaks

We publish on a 4-day a week schedule: Monday Tuesday Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY SKIP FRIDAY - NEW YEAR'S DAY HOLIDAY SKIP NEXT MONDAY - NEW YEAR'S DAY HOLIDAY STRATEGY: USA...

Mon December 27, 2021

Tireless Ken model forecasts Omicron to peak USA on 1/9/2022 at >395k cases. Base case remains S&P 500 4,800 by YE

We publish on a 4-day a week schedule: Monday Tuesday Wednesday SKIP THURSDAY SKIP FRIDAY - New Year's Day Holiday STRATEGY: TIRELESS KEN MODEL FORECASTS OMICRON USA PEAK 1/9/2022 AT...

Tue December 21, 2021

Omicron is now the primary focus of the market

We publish on a 4-day a week schedule: Monday Tuesday - Thomas Lee's 2022 Outlook @ 3pm SKIP WEDNESDAY SKIP THURSDAY SKIP FRIDAY - Christmas Holiday ------------------------- TODAY: FUNDSTRAT THOMAS...