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All eyes on CPI as Yields and DXY look ready to pull back sharply Array ( [cookie] => 036ab8-6547a6-cf8512-7b95b8-269f28 [current_usage] => 2 [max_usage] => 2 [current_usage_crypto] => 2 [max_usage_crypto] => 2 [lock] => 1 [message] => [error] => [active_member] => 1 [subscriber] => 0 [role] => fsi_macro [visitor_id] => 591084 [reason] => [method] => ) 1
US Equity trends remain bullish and mildly overbought after this recent early July run-up, and it remains difficult to fade SPX or QQQ ahead of this week’s all-important CPI report. Minor evidence of strength is apparent from Consumer Discretionary, Financials, Industrials and Materials, but still largely hasn’t proven broad-based enough to suggest a bigger period of outperformance from these groups has gotten underway. Overall, cycles, seasonality, and ongoing strength in Technology argues for a bullish stance in US Equities into at least mid-July before some backing and filling. SPX has now entered my target range, but yet still is wrong to suggest profit taking with zero evidence of any trend failure. I suspect that a possible stalling out could happen into next week between this SPX 5650-5700 area, but that only 2-3% pullback might happen ahead of even further strength.
Most of the market commentary on both TV along with the social media platform X “Fin-Twit” (Financial Twitter) revolves around the commonly known fact that markets remain dominated by a few select stocks which have represented most of this year’s S&P 500 returns. In fact, in my latest monthly report...
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