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Note: I am unable to make a video today due to travel plans. Thank you for your understanding.
The key technical takeaway from Wednesday’s FOMC meeting was that Equities continue to follow the movement in Treasury yields. Rates and the US Dollar continue to push higher and despite the roller-coaster swings, stocks finished sharply lower across the board. The sudden intra-day “Headscratcher” of a move in stocks higher shouldn’t have been much of a surprise to anyone watching yields. The abrupt About-face in $TNX from 3.60 down to 3.50% was a big intra-day swing and stocks dutifully followed suit higher, echoing the Treasury rally. Overall, it’s thought that dropping back down under 3800 following several days of attempted stabilization in S&P futures could drive the final leg down in Equity prices and up in $DXY and $TNX which ultimately culminates in a pullback under 3700 for SPX and near 3.70-5% in $TNX. Once October, the so-called “Bear-Killer” gets underway, there should be an excellent chance of a bottom in many asset classes, brought about by bearish sentiment getting capitulatory, cycles turning higher and Yields, US Dollar rolling over. At present, “Cash is King” and it remains early to take a stab at trying to buy dips. Value Line Geometric Composite is shown below.
Sector Performance offers some interesting clues
Looking back at performance of both SPDR S&P ETF’s along with Invesco’s Equal-weighted ETF’s in recent months, we see a few interesting developments that are worth highlighting.


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