The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

The minor snapback Wednesday wasn’t unexpected given historical data concerning trading activity directly following a 4% decline.  However, Tuesday’s huge downdraft looks to have paved the way for an upcoming break of September lows which should occur over the next 2-3 weeks.  Volume was concentrated very heavily into downside issues which generated a very high ARMS index reading.  However, my own experience following downside reversal days following a bounce is that they tend to be far more bearish than bullish.  My own Elliott interpretation has a base case projection for weakness into early October and a possible $SPX decline down to a maximum level near 3685.  This would accomplish something important. It would allow this most recent wave lower to mirror the decline from mid-August in both price and time.  Such a decline over the next few weeks should form a trading low in early October.

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Treasury Yields look to have another three weeks higher

Interestingly enough, from a DeMark perspective, this rally in yields is lining up exactly with the timeframe of early October, just like the Equity cycle we’ve been discussing. 

Thus, while many are getting more and more concerned about the prospect...
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