Treasuries still early to buy Array ( [cookie] => 5ef024-730093-c6ad12-5ff09b-6fe28c [current_usage] => 2 [max_usage] => 2 [current_usage_crypto] => 2 [max_usage_crypto] => 2 [lock] => 1 [message] => [error] => [active_member] => 0 [subscriber] => 0 [role] => [visitor_id] => 187363 [user_id] => [reason] => [method] => ) 1 and can accesss
Key Takeaways
- Monday’s break to multi-day lows throws the rally prospects in doubt – Trends remain bearish and momentum is not oversold
- Treasury yields still look to push higher into late April as positioning doesn’t yet favor a pullback in yields
- Energy still a preferred area to favor and no real evidence of deterioration
The attempted stabilization in US Equities has certainly not led to much rally in recent days. While prices earlier in Monday’s session at 4408 were roughly in line with where last Monday’s trading closed (SPX-4412.54 from 4/11/22), the reversal back lower Monday down to new multi-day lows is not a technical positive. Overall, movement down under 4342 would violate the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement zone of the entire March rally, raising the probability of an immediate retest of February/March lows. Technically speaking, recovering immediately is a necessity towards thinking even a bounce to 4500-4520 can happen which is looking increasingly more unlikely. Overall, the thoughts that February lows should be tested before SPX pushes back above 4637 remains intact, and defensive sectors should be favored.


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