Communication Svcs violating support makes Media, Telecom, still areas to avoid

Technical Strategy Video:

Communication Svcs violating support makes Media, Telecom, still areas to avoid

Key Takeaways

  • QQQ push to new highs has not been followed by SPX. Breadth finished nearly 2/1 negative, and new lows are expanding; Momentum is diverging in overbought territory
  • Communication Svcs breaking trends going back since Spring of this year. Media, Telecom, and many Video game companies still look quite weak and should be avoided
  • Retailing still seasonally strong, and remains a group to favor in the short run

QQQ chart below shows NASDAQ up over 1% on Thursday. SPX has not followed suit while DJIA made its move in mid-October and is now lagging in recent days. Importantly, 9 of 10 sectors fell in trading today despite the positive finish for Indices. XLY and XLK’s 1% gains were a bit of a mirage to Discretionary and/or Tech strength, as Equal-weighted ETFs for both groups, RYT the Equal-weighted Tech ETF, and RCD the Equal-weighted Discretionary ETF by Invesco, both fell in trading. Volume has been dropping off sharply in recent days, while percentage of stocks hitting new 52-week lows has been steadily increasing. Overall, this isn’t our “normal” November, and would bet that upside likely proves limited into next week before reversing course.

Communication Svcs violating support makes Media, Telecom, still areas to avoid
Source: Trading View

Communication Services breaking support should make most Media, Telecom still areas to avoid near-term

In the last 24 hours we’ve seen a fairly pronounced breakdown in the Communication Svcs sector, which as shown below by Invesco’s Equal-weighted Communication Services ETF (EWCO) has violated support going back to this Spring (EWCO)

This Equal-weighted ETF gives a truer feel for the Communication Services sector, as it avoids the heavy weightings in FB and GOOGL which make up nearly 50% of the popular XLC ETF.

Stocks like ATVI, TWTR, VIAC, EA showed pronounced weakness on Thursday, with VIAC breaching former lows going back since April 2021, which happened initially in late October. Until there’s evidence of stabilization in this group, it makes sense to hold off on getting too aggressive in buying dips. Thursday (11/18) breakdown is a short—term Negative for this group in pulling back to multi-month lows, so one should underweight/avoid this area until EWCO can hit support.

Communication Svcs violating support makes Media, Telecom, still areas to avoid
Source: Trading View

Retailing still attractive with Department stores pushing higher, while Auto parts company stocks have consolidated gains.

Some excellent follow-through in many parts of Retailing in recent days, and this remains an area of technical focus for longs and should be favored.

As seen below (Follow-up from last week), XRT breakout of this multi-month triangle is certainly a technical positive after months of inaction. Areas like Department stores in the short run (KSS, M) have proven to be some of the strongest areas within Retailing near-term.

Seasonality typically rewards those who own Retailing into the Thanksgiving holiday, though as December gets underway, sometimes these gains can be ripe to reverse. Near-term, this still favors Retailing long exposure and this chart remains constructive.

Some of the better names within this space currently are ETSY, ULTA, DKS, UA, DDS, ANF, SIG, MOV, BBY, HIBB, and as mentioned above, M and KSS remain quite attractive.

XRT chart below showing massive intermediate—term range broken last month

Communication Svcs violating support makes Media, Telecom, still areas to avoid
Source: Trading View
Disclosures (show)

This research is for the clients of FS Insight only. FSI Subscription entitles the subscriber to 1 user, research cannot be shared or redistributed. For additional information, please contact your sales representative or FS Insight at fsinsight.com.

Conflicts of Interest

This research contains the views, opinions and recommendations of FS Insight. At the time of publication of this report, FS Insight does not know of, or have reason to know of any material conflicts of interest.

General Disclosures

FS Insight is an independent research company and is not a registered investment advisor and is not acting as a broker dealer under any federal or state securities laws.

FS Insight is a member of IRC Securities’ Research Prime Services Platform. IRC Securities is a FINRA registered broker-dealer that is focused on supporting the independent research industry. Certain personnel of FS Insight (i.e. Research Analysts) are registered representatives of IRC Securities, a FINRA member firm registered as a broker-dealer with the Securities and Exchange Commission and certain state securities regulators. As registered representatives and independent contractors of IRC Securities, such personnel may receive commissions paid to or shared with IRC Securities for transactions placed by FS Insight clients directly with IRC Securities or with securities firms that may share commissions with IRC Securities in accordance with applicable SEC and FINRA requirements. IRC Securities does not distribute the research of FS Insight, which is available to select institutional clients that have engaged FS Insight.

As registered representatives of IRC Securities our analysts must follow IRC Securities’ Written Supervisory Procedures. Notable compliance policies include (1) prohibition of insider trading or the facilitation thereof, (2) maintaining client confidentiality, (3) archival of electronic communications, and (4) appropriate use of electronic communications, amongst other compliance related policies.

FS Insight does not have the same conflicts that traditional sell-side research organizations have because FS Insight (1) does not conduct any investment banking activities, and (2) does not manage any investment funds.

This communication is issued by FS Insight and/or affiliates of FS Insight. This is not a personal recommendation, nor an offer to buy or sell nor a solicitation to buy or sell any securities, investment products or other financial instruments or services. This material is distributed for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting or investment advice.
The statements in this document shall not be considered as an objective or independent explanation of the matters. Please note that this document (a) has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and (b) is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination or publication of investment research.
Intended for recipient only and not for further distribution without the consent of FS Insight.

This research is for the clients of FS Insight only. Additional information is available upon request. Information has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but FS Insight does not warrant its completeness or accuracy except with respect to any disclosures relative to FS Insight and the analyst’s involvement (if any) with any of the subject companies of the research. All pricing is as of the market close for the securities discussed, unless otherwise stated. Opinions and estimates constitute our judgment as of the date of this material and are subject to change without notice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. The opinions and recommendations herein do not take into account individual client circumstances, risk tolerance, objectives, or needs and are not intended as recommendations of particular securities, financial instruments or strategies. The recipient of this report must make its own independent decision regarding any securities or financial instruments mentioned herein. Except in circumstances where FS Insight expressly agrees otherwise in writing, FS Insight is not acting as a municipal advisor and the opinions or views contained herein are not intended to be, and do not constitute, advice, including within the meaning of Section 15B of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. All research reports are disseminated and available to all clients simultaneously through electronic publication to our internal client website, fsinsight.com. Not all research content is redistributed to our clients or made available to third-party aggregators or the media. Please contact your sales representative if you would like to receive any of our research publications.

Copyright © 2025 FS Insight LLC. All rights reserved. No part of this material may be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the prior written consent of FS Insight LLC.