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US Dollar is Likely in Early Stages of  Q1 Risk Off Bounce

2021 Technical Outlook Webinar replay (click here) - If you missed my 2021 Technical Outlook Webinar this past week, I’d encourage you to watch the replay. In addition to outlining the longer-term cycles I view as important, along with expectations for rates, currencies, and commodities, I also discuss the reasons why investors should be prepared for a 2-3 month pullback in Q1.

A Q1 pullback would set the stage for another upside move in 2021 - To be clear, I continue to view a Q1 equity pullback in the range of 7-10% to be a normal event that develops during most years and NOT the beginning of a major bear market correction. The longer-term 4-year cycle work I discussed during the webinar suggests equity markets are likely to move higher in 2021 following a temporary pullback in Q1.

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