Telegram
U.S. Bonds Starting to Look Pricey After a Big Move

U.S. Bonds Starting to Look Pricey After a Big Move It wasn’t a pretty week for stocks. Bonds, however, were another story. Investors ran to U.S. Treasury 10-year bonds and yields fell, as global rates incrementally turn negative and the economic implications of trade worries deepens. (For more see page 3)

However, 10-year bond yields (bond prices move inversely to yields) have now declined into a technical band defined by a 50-62% retracement of the 2016-2018 rebound after downside moves from 2018 highs. This size retracement is often a level from which rebounds develop, which to me raises the question of whether bond yields are getting overdone on the downside. That is, bonds might be pricey.

You are trying to access FSI member-only content.
You need to have an active FSI Macro, or FSI Pro subcription in order to read this article.
If you are already a member at FSInsight, please Sign In here. If you don’t have a subscription to FSInsight yet, you can sign up below.

Choose one of our yearly plans to save nearly 15%

We accept crypto via BitPay for yearly subscriptions.
    • Macro
      FSI Macro
      from
      $
      199
      /mo
      billed anually
      Get access to all the macro research on FSInsight
      • Tom Lee's First Word
      • Tom Lee’s Equity Strategy
      • Stock Lists
      • ETF Sector Allocation
      • Wall Street Whispers
      • Signal From Noise
      • Technical Analysis
      • US Policy
      • Fed Watch
      • Live Webinars with Q&A
      First Month Free!
    • Crypto
      FSI Digital Assets
      from
      $
      99
      /mo
      billed anually
      Get access to all the crypto research on FSInsight
      • Crypto Daily
      • Crypto First Word from Tom Lee
      • Crypto Blasts from David Grider
      • Crypto Weekly
      • Crypto Technical Analysis
      • Bitcoin Valuation
      • Bitcoin Misery Index
      • Live Webinars with Q&A
      • -
      • -
      First Month Free!
    • Macro + Crypto
      FSI Pro
      from
      $
      249
      /mo
      billed anually
      Get access to all the exclusive research on FSInsight
      • Looking at code?
      • I am hidden!
      • -
      • FSI Macro
      • +
      • FSI Digital Assets
      • Designed by
      • HANGAR115
      • -
      • -
      First Month Free!
Disclosures (show)

Want to receive Regular Market Updates to your Inbox?

I am your default error :)
FSInsight logo
150 East 52nd St, 3rd Floor, New York, NY 10022

Subscribe to our Free Weekly Report

An insitutional-grade report delivered to your inbox every week.

© 2021 FSInsight. All rights reserved. Developed by HANGAR115.

Illustrations by Karl Wimer.