stocks
- First Word
- First Word
Nasdaq went "no bid" on 9/13 with zero stocks advancing. 13 of 13 times, Nasdaq 100 higher median 12M gain 21%. When already >25% drawdown, median gain +64%
In 2H2022, there have been two separate days where markets saw massive declines:post-Jackson Hole on 8/26post-August CPI on 9/13 In both instances, equites were reacting to re-calibration of Fed expectations. That is, when investors see risk of tighter Fed, stocks have fallen in a broad retreat. The negative reaction to...
- First Word
Nasdaq down 7 days in a row, actually a constructive signal. Since 1970, stocks higher 74% of time 1M, 3M, 6M later.
Equities have sold off seemingly continuously since Jackson Hole (8/26), as the strong message from the Fed and uncertainty around Russia, China and economy have pushed equities to become "no bid" -- in fact, as many noted, the Nasdaq is down 7 consecutive days. Since 1970, this is pretty uncommon,...
First Word
If 73% was peak (% stocks >20% off highs), “buy the dip” regime is back = 2H rally
Investors remain broadly cautious on equities. This is completely understandable given the carnage in markets this year, along with the great uncertainties associated with the...
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Signal From Noise
Three Stocks For Elevated Inflation and Volatility
"I like to compare the Fed's problem to the challenge of adjusting the shower in an old hotel, where there's a lag of 20 to...
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Tom Lee's Equity Strategy
Equities become ‘no bid’ and %-stocks >50D now 2.0%...4 stocks (of 9) need to fall to reach 1.2% seen Mar 23, 2020 and Dec. 24, 2018
Equities have suffered an utter meltdown in the past week as the hot inflation implications of U Mich and CPI pushed stocks into “no bid.”...
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- Signal From Noise
First Word
When pundits panic, investors should counter-trade. 5 of last 6 FOMC, stocks rallied
If someone asked us to explain the primary difference in our relatively more sanguine view of the world versus consensus, it is really the difference...
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Daily Technical Strategy
Despite US Stocks weakening, they’re still the “Best game in town”
This week’s breakdown in SPX and IWM to join QQQ keeps the near-term Equity trend down, and should result in February lows being testedGOOGL and...
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Signal From Noise
Five Stocks For Seasonal and Style Factors
Identifying economic trends is critical to entering and exiting positions. We take you through some of our process for identifying beneficiaries of tactical themes in...
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Your Weekly Roadmap
Stocks Struggle in The First Week of the Second Quarter
The market had another down week. While last week was firmly led by defensives, this week showed a bit more of a mix. Technology and...
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