FSI Macro
- US Policy
- First Word
PCE important Fri. Small-caps $IWM just generated a signal only seen 10 times since 1979 and almost always "early cycle" signal with 100% win-ratio 3M, 6M and 12M later (90% 1M).
VIDEO: Small-caps just generated a very important quantitative signal, moving >1% in 11 of the last 12 trading sessions. This has only happened at the start of a major advance for $IWM. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 05:09) https://vimeo. com/990326812/9b61574781? share=copy Since July 11th (June CPI), our stance is...
- Earnings Daily
Earnings Daily
Daily Technical Strategy
Here’s why this initial decline should prove Short-lived
SPX AND QQQ BROKE SUPPORT ON WEDNESDAY, SHOWING THE LARGEST PERCENTAGE DECLINES SINCE 2022. WHILE I EXPECT THAT SPX IS NEARING THE NEXT SERIOUS LEVEL...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: The painful selloff Wed highlights that small-cap rotation is underway, we would buy the dip in "summer of small caps"
VIDEO: The selling Wednesday is overdone. And when the dust settles, we are buying the dip. But the more compelling case remains small-caps and we are...
- Intraday First Word
INTRADAY ALERT: June Core PCE +0.18% MoM good enough for markets to raise odds of +50bp (2 cuts) in Sept = good. Supports "summer of small-caps"
The June Core PCE came in at +0.18% MoM. This was slightly higher than consenus but as we highlight below, there are 4 items driving this:The 4 upside drivers for June PCE: - Professional services - Food services - Other durable goods - Recreational itemsIn total, this added +0.14bp sequentially...
Daily Technical Strategy
Technicals confirm we’re in the “Summer of Small-caps"
US EQUITY INDICES LOOK TO HAVE BOTTOMED FOLLOWING MONDAY’S 1% RALLY TO MULTI-DAY HIGHS IN SPX AND QQQ LED BY STRENGTH IN TECHNOLOGY. SMALL, AND...
First to Market
Coming Up In The World
A daily market update from FS Insight — what you need to know ahead of opening bell “It is every man's obligation to put back...
Earnings Daily
Daily Technical Strategy
REITS Getting better and better; Meanwhile, Metals taking a breather
US EQUITY INDICES LOOK TO HAVE BOTTOMED FOLLOWING MONDAY’S 1% RALLY TO MULTI-DAY HIGHS IN SPX AND QQQ LED BY STRENGTH IN TECHNOLOGY. SMALL, AND...