How to View This Turbulent Market

May 20, 2022 • 7 Min Read

If you’re invested in security and certainty, you are on the wrong planet.” – Pema Chödrön

During our Friday morning meeting in New York, Mark Newton, head of technical strategy, drew a fascinating comparison between this environment—one of the more treacherous we’ve seen—and that of 1962. It was President John F. Kennedy's second year in office; midterm years are historically a rough year for the stock market, and 1962 and 2022 are no outliers. Consider that from 1900 through 2021, the median annualized returns were:

• 12.7 percent in year 1

• 3.1 percent in year 2 ...

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