Key Takeaways

  • This Signal updates our readers on key considerations and economic impacts from the unprecedented and dastardly Russian invasion of Ukraine.
  • We discuss the military situation in Ukraine, the US, and allied response so far, and several key considerations for assessing whether the market impact will be minimal or enduring.
  • We explain some of the key economic implications of the brewing conflict and the impact on commodity prices and supply-chains that could result from the war itself and associated sanctions.
  • We provide five stocks that we’ve previously covered in this column that we believe are likely to outperform given the profoundly changing currents of geopolitical tensions and unprecedented threat to the post-war international order.

Just before dawn, Russian forces launched an unprovoked attack on Ukrainian military targets. Every major urban center in Ukraine has been attacked and Russian soldiers and armor have poured over existing frontiers from Russia itself, from annexed Crimea, and from the Russian client-state of Belarus. Last night, before the full-scale invasion, this piece was focused on describing potential outcomes and military options for Russia in Ukraine. Based on the events that have transpired today it appears that all but the...

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