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At Halloween a Fed Funds Rate Cut This Way Comes

Next Thursday, Oct. 31, Halloween, investors will likely see a 25 basis points reduction to the Federal funds rate from the Federal Open Market Committee, when it meets that day. It would drop to a range of 1.50%-1.75%. My sense is the market spies a treat, not a trick. Don’t say we didn’t warn you.

With the Fed futures market signaling a 93% probability, it’s almost a done deal. The FOMC pays close attention to the Fed futures markets as the pulse of investor thinking, past meeting minutes...

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