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Delta Variant Likely Gives Market Transitory Panic, YE Target Increased to 4,600

Summary

- COVID-19 case trends have deteriorated as the Delta variant rises proportionally to existing strains.

- Our central case is now that 10-15 states (those with lowest vaccination rates) will see another parabolic rise in cases in the next few weeks.

- Importantly, we do not see a high likelihood of lockdowns in response to these elevated levels of infection as adverse outcomes will likely fall significantly as a portion of cases. Surge in vaccinations likely.

- Our strategy and favorites rem...

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