Macro Strategy
- Intraday Alert
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Today is first signs "Trump put" returning. But stocks weaken as markets see a deteriorating economic outlook. Friday jobs key
VIDEO: Today saw the first signs that the "Trump put" might be returning. But growth worries weigh on stocks. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:55). https://vimeo. com/1063397862/2360f02310? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18. Full stock list here -> Click here ______________________________ PS:...
- First Word
Weak Feb ADP jobs might be harbinger of a weak Fri jobs report = return of Fed + Trump put
VIDEO: Today had first signs of capitulatory behavior as weak ADP report brought odds of a May Fed cut to 45% early in the day. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 6:11). https://vimeo. com/1062988958/f1f23f394e? share=copy While stocks could initially face volatility from a potentially soft February jobs report this...
First Word
Even as White House wants lower rates (via DOGE, tariffs, etc), they want to avoid "stall speed" or recession, which means White House "put" still exists.
VIDEO: We believe the White House "put" still exists, as the White House wants to avoid an economy stalling into a recession. Please click below...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Even as White House wants lower rates (via DOGE, tariffs, etc), they want to avoid “stall speed” or recession, which means White House “put” still exists.
VIDEO: We believe the White House "put" still exists, as the White House wants to avoid an economy stalling into a recession. Please click below...
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First Word
$NVDA results beat consensus and "good enough" in our view for stocks to stabilize
VIDEO: $NVDA results were good enough in our view. This Friday is Jan Core PCE, which will hopefully be softer than consensus. Please click below to...
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- First Word
The 20-day 10% correction in S&P 500 is 5th fastest in past 75 years. 5 prior declines were similar "knee jerk" reactions that saw gains 100% time 3M, 6M and 12M later
VIDEO: This 10% correction is the 5th fastest in the last 75 years and history argues this is indiscriminate rage selling. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 7:23). https://vimeo. com/1064868423/8dd2a3056c? share=copy Equity markets fell 10% in the past 20 trading days, on the heels of escalating tariff war fears...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Investors continue to "buy the dip" as sentiment shows bearishness while markets touch all-time highs. This is a good sign.
VIDEO: Investors have been persistently bearish while S&P 500 making all-time highs. This is rare and in the past 40 years, only happened 11 times...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Client surveys show 53% cite tariffs/deportation as the biggest risk... but low VIX warns "never short a dull market
VIDEO: Equity markets staged what we view as an upside breakout on positive fundamental news and encouraging sentiment developments Please click below to view our Macro...
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First Word
Client surveys show 53% cite tariffs/deportation as the biggest risk... but low VIX warns "never short a dull market
VIDEO: Equity markets staged what we view as an upside breakout on positive fundamental news and encouraging sentiment developments. Please click below to view our Macro...
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First Word
February Super Granny and Super SMID Granny Market Update + SMID Granny February Rebalance +25 adds/ -24 deletes.
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. VIDEO: We discuss our macro views 6 weeks into 2025 including the...
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