Macro Strategy
- First Word
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Today is first signs "Trump put" returning. But stocks weaken as markets see a deteriorating economic outlook. Friday jobs key
VIDEO: Today saw the first signs that the "Trump put" might be returning. But growth worries weigh on stocks. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:55). https://vimeo. com/1063397862/2360f02310? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18. Full stock list here -> Click here ______________________________ PS:...
- First Word
Weak Feb ADP jobs might be harbinger of a weak Fri jobs report = return of Fed + Trump put
VIDEO: Today had first signs of capitulatory behavior as weak ADP report brought odds of a May Fed cut to 45% early in the day. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 6:11). https://vimeo. com/1062988958/f1f23f394e? share=copy While stocks could initially face volatility from a potentially soft February jobs report this...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This week could bring both the Fed "put" and Trump "put" back into play, post-Feb jobs report. Last Friday's "stocks rise on bad news" was a good sign.
VIDEO: This week is shaping up to be a critical week, when there could be panic about a bad jobs report (fri) but this brings...
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First Word
Even as White House wants lower rates (via DOGE, tariffs, etc), they want to avoid "stall speed" or recession, which means White House "put" still exists.
VIDEO: We believe the White House "put" still exists, as the White House wants to avoid an economy stalling into a recession. Please click below...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Even as White House wants lower rates (via DOGE, tariffs, etc), they want to avoid “stall speed” or recession, which means White House “put” still exists.
VIDEO: We believe the White House "put" still exists, as the White House wants to avoid an economy stalling into a recession. Please click below...
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- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: The 20-day 10% correction in S&P 500 is 5th fastest in past 75 years. 5 prior declines were similar "knee jerk" reactions that saw gains 100% time 3M, 6M and 12M later
VIDEO: This 10% correction is the 5th fastest in the last 75 years and history argues this is indiscriminate rage selling. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 7:23). https://vimeo. com/1064868423/8dd2a3056c? share=copy [Video: Macro Minute: Equities continue to sell-off given lack of visibility of tariffs clouds near-term outlook but odds...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 4 reasons we view last weeks -5% decline in Momentum stocks as only a "flesh wound"
VIDEO: We view the sell-off in momentum stocks/broad equities (last 2 days of last week) as a flesh wound. We highlight 4 reasons this week...
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First Word
Investors continue to "buy the dip" as sentiment shows bearishness while markets touch all-time highs. This is a good sign.
VIDEO: Investors have been persistently bearish while S&P 500 making all-time highs. This is rare and in the past 40 years, only happened 11 times...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Investors continue to "buy the dip" as sentiment shows bearishness while markets touch all-time highs. This is a good sign.
VIDEO: Investors have been persistently bearish while S&P 500 making all-time highs. This is rare and in the past 40 years, only happened 11 times...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Client surveys show 53% cite tariffs/deportation as the biggest risk... but low VIX warns "never short a dull market
VIDEO: Equity markets staged what we view as an upside breakout on positive fundamental news and encouraging sentiment developments Please click below to view our Macro...
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