Macro Strategy
- Macro Minute Video
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Today may have seen the quiet return of the "Trump put"
VIDEO: The message from the White House has changed from "no negotiation on tariffs" to "President has maximum leverage to negotiate" which we see as signaling the return of the Trump put. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 07:57). https://vimeo. com/1073395299/fa09750e5f? share=copy ------------------------- _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We...
- First Word
We got tariff liberation day wrong. The White House broke a core covenant of capitalism. But stocks stretched to downside (and excessive recession risk) and we see high probability of de-escalation.
VIDEO: We believe stocks have overshot to the downside, even as technical damage is enormous and requires patience to repair. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 12:00). https://vimeo. com/1073072971/08279eaef2? share=copy We want to apologize as the terms of tariff Liberation Day were far worse than we expected. The resulting...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 6 reasons we believe Pres Trump wants stock market to rally post-Liberation day. And does political affiliation explain why the stock market and bond market disagree?
VIDEO: As Liberation day approaches, the key question is whether the White House cares how the stock market reacts. We discuss the 6 reasons President...
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First Word
Monday positive reversal from -1% open is a good sign. Also encouraging to see $TSLA $MSTR #BTC outperform since 3/13/25
VIDEO: The positive reversal Monday is encouraging but there remains quite a bit of uncertainty ahead. What is notable is that several of MAG7 have...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Monday positive reversal from -1% open is a good sign. Also encouraging to see $TSLA $MSTR #BTC outperform since 3/13/25
VIDEO: The positive reversal Monday is encouraging but there remains quite a bit of uncertainty ahead. What is notable is that several of MAG7 have...
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- First Word
2 steps forward, one step back for stocks Thursday… 32 stocks that might be sold-out (washed out)
VIDEO: Equities fell -4.4% after rising 9.5% Wednesday. This is not entirely surprising and not necessarily adverse. We think it makes sense to look at washed out stocks. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 8:32). https://vimeo. com/1074498931/883cf1a99a? share=copy Markets took a step back on Thursday following Wednesday’s rally, in what can...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: S&P 500 close above 5,703 confirms rally underway. $TSLA remains "Exhibit A" for a V-shaped recovery and why a Trump "put" exists
VIDEO: We discuss several positive technical developments today and why $TSLA is Exhibit A on whether there is a V-shaped recovery in stocks and of...
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First Word
Over the weekend, tariff war appearing increasingly targeted and a reminder Trump "put" exists. Raises probability of a strong rally in the coming weeks
VIDEO: There were positive developments over the weekend and we now see the increased probability of a sharp rally starting possibly this week Please click...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Over the weekend, tariff war appearing increasingly targeted and a reminder Trump "put" exists. Raises probability of a strong rally in the coming weeks
VIDEO: There were positive developments over the weekend and we now see the increased probability of a sharp rally starting possibly this week Please click...
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First Word
A look back at 2018 suggests that stocks likely rally post-tariff announcement (4/2) driven by likely drop in VIX (volatility)
VIDEO: We look at back at 2018 and we see stocks recovered from tariff news and rallied strongly. One of the fuels in 2025 is...
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