Macro Strategy
- Macro Minute Video
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This is the Summer of Small-caps with a rotation out of Technology
VIDEO: We want to re-emphasize that this is the summer of small-cap stocks, expecting a 10-week rally of 40% or more. Mark Newton also sees a Technology breather (DeMark 13 sells confirmed), fueling this rotation out of Technology to small-caps, regional banks and Biotech $IWM $KRE $BTK. Please click below...
- First Word
GRANNY SHOTS: Jul 2024 rebalance +8 adds/-10 deletes. SMID Granny Shots +23 adds/-25 deletes. July Super and Sleeper Grannies. WEBINAR WED!!!
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR GRANNY SHOTS WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. _GRANNY SHOTS: JULY 2024 REBALANCE_ This note is focused on the quarterly rebalance of Granny Shots, and also the updated list of Super and Sleeper Grannies. We view Granny Shots as a core portfolio of stocks and...
First Word
If June Core CPI (7/11) below +0.25%, likely triggers rotations in small-caps, Industrials, Financials and "laggard" FAANGs
VIDEO: If June Core CPI is as soft as we expect, we think this triggers a rotation to small-caps, industrials and Financials as well as...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: If June Core CPI (7/11) below +0.25%, likely triggers rotations in small-caps, Industrials, Financials and "laggard" FAANGs
VIDEO: If June Core CPI is as soft as we expect, we think this triggers a rotation to small-caps, industrials and Financials as well as...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This is a week of reckoning for those hawkish on inflation and Fed. Equities rallied 5 of last 7 CPI reports
VIDEO: The majority of clients are some combination of negative due to inflation second wave, due to Fed cutting hawkishly, and/or due to hard landing....
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Existing home sales (Tue) to show housing in a recession, which inflects if Fed cuts in Sept. More support for "summer of small caps"
VIDEO: We discuss the importance of macro data this week, highlighting how many parts of the economy are in recession and would benefit from Fed cuts. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 03:45). https://vimeo. com/988588218/76fa347b5c? share=copy _____________________________ 34 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 42 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Incoming data this week points to weaker inflation in months ahead = positive. By contrast, Fed speak leans "hawkish" given (hard) data dependence
VIDEO: The incoming data this week – from Case-Shiller home prices, Target price announcements, McDonald's $5 value meal – all point to weakening inflation pressures,...
First Word
GRANNY SHOTS: June 2024 Super Granny update
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR GRANNY SHOTS WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. SUPER GRANNIES: 5 SUPER AND 5 SLEEPER “Super Grannies” (most timely) and...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Case-Shiller April price data (Tue 9am ET) likely to confirm home prices YoY set to roll over. Also, Bitcoin selloff from Mt Gox only temporary
VIDEO: The year ago Case-Shiller home prices were rising ~0.80% MoM April thru Sept, and the pace in 2024 is more like +0.30% MoM. This...
First Word
As we enter final week of June, global economy strengthened while inflation weakened = stocks up for "right" reasons and well setup for July
VIDEO: As we enter final week of June, the global economy's fundamentals strengthened this month, while inflation weakened = stocks up for the right reasons...
