Macro Strategy
- First Word
- First Word
2 steps forward, one step back for stocks Thursday… 32 stocks that might be sold-out (washed out)
VIDEO: Equities fell -4.4% after rising 9.5% Wednesday. This is not entirely surprising and not necessarily adverse. We think it makes sense to look at washed out stocks. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 8:32). https://vimeo. com/1074498931/883cf1a99a? share=copy Markets took a step back on Thursday following Wednesday’s rally, in what can...
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 2 steps forward, one step back for stocks Thursday… 32 stocks that might be sold-out (washed out)
VIDEO: Equities fell -4.4% after rising 9.5% Wednesday. This is not entirely surprising and not necessarily adverse. We think it makes sense to look at washed out stocks. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 8:32). https://vimeo. com/1074498931/883cf1a99a? share=copy ------------------------- _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18....
First Word
Today may have seen the quiet return of the "Trump put"
VIDEO: The message from the White House has changed from "no negotiation on tariffs" to "President has maximum leverage to negotiate" which we see as...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Today may have seen the quiet return of the "Trump put"
VIDEO: The message from the White House has changed from "no negotiation on tariffs" to "President has maximum leverage to negotiate" which we see as...
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First Word
We got tariff liberation day wrong. The White House broke a core covenant of capitalism. But stocks stretched to downside (and excessive recession risk) and we see high probability of de-escalation.
VIDEO: We believe stocks have overshot to the downside, even as technical damage is enormous and requires patience to repair. Please click below to view...
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- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Adage still holds that "Buy stocks VIX >50, confirmed by move below 31."
VIDEO: We discuss why the VIX move below 31 is an important signal. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 7:26). https://vimeo. com/1075495046/c505d2f274? share=copy ------------------------- _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18. Full stock list here -> Click here ______________________________ PS: if you are enjoying our...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Shock and negative awe at Liberation Day. But terms so absurd, probabilities favor negotiations. 6 nations key
VIDEO: the terms of Liberation were a negative surprise. But they are so absurd, that these look to be a negotiating tactic. And ultimately only...
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First Word
6 reasons we believe Pres Trump wants stock market to rally post-Liberation day. And does political affiliation explain why the stock market and bond market disagree?
VIDEO: As Liberation day approaches, the key question is whether the White House cares how the stock market reacts. We discuss the 6 reasons President...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 6 reasons we believe Pres Trump wants stock market to rally post-Liberation day. And does political affiliation explain why the stock market and bond market disagree?
VIDEO: As Liberation day approaches, the key question is whether the White House cares how the stock market reacts. We discuss the 6 reasons President...
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First Word
Monday positive reversal from -1% open is a good sign. Also encouraging to see $TSLA $MSTR #BTC outperform since 3/13/25
VIDEO: The positive reversal Monday is encouraging but there remains quite a bit of uncertainty ahead. What is notable is that several of MAG7 have...
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