Macro Strategy
- Macro Minute Video
- First Word
Important Earnings and macro week ahead. June PCE (Fri) likely to shift higher odds of both July and Sept cut. Supporting "summer of small cap" rally.
VIDEO: President Biden officially announced he is not seeking re-election. While there may not be major market implications, the odds of a Trump White House remain >60% and with June PCE this week, could act as a catalyst for small-caps. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:59). https://vimeo. com/988136546/6c60dbab91?...
- Macro Minute Video
Important earnings and macro week ahead. June PCE (Fri) likely to shift higher odds of both July and Sept cut. Supporting "summer of small cap" rally.
VIDEO: President Biden officially announced he is not seeking re-election. While there may not be major market implications, the odds of a Trump White House remain >60% and with June PCE this week, could act as a catalyst for small-caps. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:59). https://vimeo. com/988136546/6c60dbab91?...
First Word
GRANNY SHOTS: Jul 2024 rebalance +8 adds/-10 deletes. SMID Granny Shots +23 adds/-25 deletes. July Super and Sleeper Grannies. WEBINAR WED!!!
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR GRANNY SHOTS WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. _GRANNY SHOTS: JULY 2024 REBALANCE_ This note is focused on the quarterly...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Despite +8% rally in the Russell 2000, institutional short interest is near record levels
VIDEO: We continue to expect a sizable positive rise in small-caps in the next 10 weeks, and history shows the bulk of the move is...
First Word
5 reasons June CPI gave "green light" for small-caps to continue to rally. Failed assassination attempt against Trump positive for Bitcoin, Cyclicals.
VIDEO: The astonishingly low June CPI is giving the green light for small-caps to rally. We discuss how large a rally we could expect Please click...
- First Word
Two key developments this week (so far). First, "technical confirmation" of the small-cap breakout and second, evidence this is funded by rotation out of large-caps.
VIDEO: The "summer of small caps" appears to be triggering a rotation out of large-cap as noted by Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy. Also, the collapse of existing home sales is further signal for Fed to make cuts sooner = good for small-caps Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration:...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: If June Core CPI (7/11) below +0.25%, likely triggers rotations in small-caps, Industrials, Financials and "laggard" FAANGs
VIDEO: If June Core CPI is as soft as we expect, we think this triggers a rotation to small-caps, industrials and Financials as well as...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This is a week of reckoning for those hawkish on inflation and Fed. Equities rallied 5 of last 7 CPI reports
VIDEO: The majority of clients are some combination of negative due to inflation second wave, due to Fed cutting hawkishly, and/or due to hard landing....
First Word
INTRADAY ALERT: June jobs report incrementally dovish = incrementally positive for stocks
THIS INTRADAY ALERT IS SENT SOLELY TO SUBSCRIBERS OF FS INSIGHT Today's June job report was inline, despite a headline beat of jobs added at...
First Word
Powell today at Sintra confirms Fed acknowledging softer inflation, a contrast to FOMC meeting.
VIDEO: The key data release is Friday's June jobs report. If it is as weak as Goldman expects (50k below consensus), this should lead to...
