Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Looking at 2H 2024, strong stays strong. Stick with 1H winners and themes.
VIDEO: The focus of the data heavy macro this week is on health of economy and whether we are facing a soft landing. As for...
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First Word
GRANNY SHOTS: June 2024 Super Granny update
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR GRANNY SHOTS WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. SUPER GRANNIES: 5 SUPER AND 5 SLEEPER “Super Grannies” (most timely) and...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Case-Shiller April price data (Tue 9am ET) likely to confirm home prices YoY set to roll over. Also, Bitcoin selloff from Mt Gox only temporary
VIDEO: The year ago Case-Shiller home prices were rising ~0.80% MoM April thru Sept, and the pace in 2024 is more like +0.30% MoM. This...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: As we enter final week of June, global economy strengthened while inflation weakened = stocks up for "right" reasons and well setup for July
VIDEO: As we enter final week of June, the global economy's fundamentals strengthened this month, while inflation weakened = stocks up for the right reasons...
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First Word
The surge in new car inventory points to further goods deflation ahead = inflation falling like a rock = supportive of higher P/E
VIDEO: The important macro news this week is the piling up of new car inventory and this will put downward pressure on car prices and...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: The surge in new car inventory points to further goods deflation ahead = inflation falling like a rock = supportive of higher P/E
VIDEO: The important macro news this week is the piling up of new car inventory and this will put downward pressure on car prices and...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Median P/E (2025) ~16X, same as start of year = stay constructive. Softer retail sales and Manheim pricing raises odds of sooner Fed cuts.
VIDEO: The median multiple of the S&P 500 stock is still 16X P/2025 EPS, very reasonable in our view. Softer incoming data this week points...
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First Word
INTRADAY ALERT: May core CPI downside of +0.16% mom affirms rationale to buy stocks this week and into month end
May Core CPI released this am and it was a huge downside reading at +0.16% mom versus +0.28% consensusThe driver of the downside read was...
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First Word
INTRADAY ALERT: Stronger than expected May jobs report doesn't derail positive view for June.
Today, the BLS released the May jobs report (8:30am ET) and the headline jobs added was far above consensus at +272k vs +180k Street consensus.On...
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First Word
JOLTS misses by -2.8 std dev as job market cools sharply = "bad news is good news." Rally at close in each of last 3 days is sign of institutional accumulation.
VIDEO: Stocks are inching higher in this first week of June. Notably, buying has taken place at the end of the day, which is historically...
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