Intraday Alert
Possible "local" peak in VIX raises probability of rally on Friday post-Aug jobs report
On Friday, August jobs report is released at 8:30am ET, the first of 3 key Sept macro events (CPI next week, FOMC week after). For...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Entering tricky 8 weeks into election day. Watch the VIX as this signals if pain is "front loaded"
VIDEO: We discuss why markets will be tricky over next 8 weeks (duration 7:07). _____________________________ 42 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our...
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Intraday Alert
INTRADAY ALERT: July Core PCE inline and good details. U Mich good progress
Today had 2 data releases and both had positive implications for the path of inflation and inflation expectations, which in turn give Fed confidence to...
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First Word
Rotation into small-caps, industrials and financials post-NVDA results is a sign of market strength. Still "summer of small-caps"
VIDEO: Today was a demonstration of the strength of this equity market as the largest stock fell and market broadened sharply led by small-caps (duration...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Rotation into small-caps, industrials and financials post-NVDA results is a sign of market strength. Still "summer of small-caps"
VIDEO: Today was a demonstration of the strength of this equity market as the largest stock fell and market broadened sharply led by small-caps. Please...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Will NVDA weak reaction post-EPS trigger rotation or risk-off? Given AI-related spend intact, case stronger for rotation into cyclicals and small-caps, not risk-off
VIDEO: Many will expect the broader market to sell-off post NVDA -1.70% EPS reaction (down) but we discuss the rationale for why this likely triggers a rotation...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Fed Chair dovish speech at Jackson Hole (8/23) solidifies case for small-caps
VIDEO: Fed Chair Powell was decisively dovish this past Friday at Jackson Hole, solidifying case for small-caps. We discuss the upside case in this video...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: “Real rates” are 3X higher than at 2023 Jackson Hole, 1 of 3 reasons we expect markets to ultimately view Fed Chair Powell’s comments dovishly = risk-on post-speech.
VIDEO: We expect Fed Chair Powell's comments at Jackson Hole to be dovish and for markets to interpret these dovishly. This is supportive of stocks near term...
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First Word
August Market Update & Top Stock Ideas + Super SMID Granny
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. INVESTMENT IDEAS: TOP 5 STOCK PICKS As we are rebranding our monthly...
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Intraday Alert
INTRADAY ALERT: July Core CPI at +0.17% supportive of rate cut cycle starting Sept. Shelter + Auto Insurance account for +0.21% of inflation in the month.
The July Core CPI came in at +0.17% MoM, a better than expected versus consensus of +0.19% MoM. This is now the 4th consecutive "soft"...
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