Macro Strategy
- Macro Minute Video
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Even as White House wants lower rates (via DOGE, tariffs, etc), they want to avoid “stall speed” or recession, which means White House “put” still exists.
VIDEO: We believe the White House "put" still exists, as the White House wants to avoid an economy stalling into a recession. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 9:39). https://vimeo. com/1061108493/a947d58d7b? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18. Full stock list here -> Click...
- First Word
$NVDA results beat consensus and "good enough" in our view for stocks to stabilize
VIDEO: $NVDA results were good enough in our view. This Friday is Jan Core PCE, which will hopefully be softer than consensus. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:16). https://vimeo. com/1060692571/54155bb46a? share=copy It’s been a critical week for markets with key earnings announcements alongside economic data. A busy week for earnings...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Jan FOMC rate decision (Wed) likely highlights dovish Fed (vs consensus). January 31 close key = 6th reason 2025 tracking better
VIDEO: We are watching 3 things closely this week: 4Q24 EPS as insurance and MAG7 report; Jan FOMC Wed and January 31 price close Please...
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First Word
5 reasons 2025 tracking above our "base case" (so far) = good.
VIDEO: 2025 is tracking better than our original expectations made in early Dec with 5 primary reasons driving this. Please click below to view our Macro...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 5 reasons 2025 tracking above our "base case" (so far) = good.
VIDEO: 2025 is tracking better than our original expectations made in early Dec with 5 primary reasons driving this. Please click below to view our Macro...
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- First Word
Over the weekend, tariff war appearing increasingly targeted and a reminder Trump "put" exists. Raises probability of a strong rally in the coming weeks
VIDEO: There were positive developments over the weekend and we now see the increased probability of a sharp rally starting possibly this week Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:41). https://vimeo. com/1068677765/ae7ba451e3? share=copy Markets appear to be setting up for a potential face-ripper rally this week as recent developments...
First Word
Bracing for a possible "strong" Nov jobs report. But ultimately, even if Fed makes fewer cuts in 2025, this lengthens dovish cycle = good
VIDEO: There is a lot of macro data released Friday. We believe odds favor Nov jobs report stronger than expected and this might trigger from "good...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Bracing for a possible "strong" Nov jobs report. But ultimately, even if Fed makes fewer cuts in 2025, this lengthens dovish cycle = good
VIDEO: There is a lot of macro data released Friday. We believe odds favor Nov jobs report stronger than expected and this might trigger from "good...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Fed Chair Powell comments at NY Times/Dealbook hints at slower pace of cuts. But we see this as actually constructive
VIDEO: We discuss the fact the Fed needs to move to Neutral, and a slower pace of cutting means a longer dovish cycle. Also, Bitcoin...
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Macro Strategy
Video: Macro Minute: JOLTS (Oct) give markets pause on whether Fed "pauses" -- but larger picture remains that Dec seasonals strong
VIDEO: We discuss how today's JOLTS (job openings) report might be distorted by Hurricanes and strikes. And the case for a Dec rally remains intact...
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