First Word
Rotation into small-caps, industrials and financials post-NVDA results is a sign of market strength. Still "summer of small-caps"
VIDEO: Today was a demonstration of the strength of this equity market as the largest stock fell and market broadened sharply led by small-caps (duration...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Rotation into small-caps, industrials and financials post-NVDA results is a sign of market strength. Still "summer of small-caps"
VIDEO: Today was a demonstration of the strength of this equity market as the largest stock fell and market broadened sharply led by small-caps. Please...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Will NVDA weak reaction post-EPS trigger rotation or risk-off? Given AI-related spend intact, case stronger for rotation into cyclicals and small-caps, not risk-off
VIDEO: Many will expect the broader market to sell-off post NVDA -3.27% EPS reaction (down) but we discuss the rationale for why this likely triggers a rotation...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Fed Chair dovish speech at Jackson Hole (8/23) solidifies case for small-caps
VIDEO: Fed Chair Powell was decisively dovish this past Friday at Jackson Hole, solidifying case for small-caps. We discuss the upside case in this video...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: “Real rates” are 3X higher than at 2023 Jackson Hole, 1 of 3 reasons we expect markets to ultimately view Fed Chair Powell’s comments dovishly = risk-on post-speech.
VIDEO: We expect Fed Chair Powell's comments at Jackson Hole to be dovish and for markets to interpret these dovishly. This is supportive of stocks near term...
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First Word
August Market Update & Top Stock Ideas + Super SMID Granny
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. INVESTMENT IDEAS: TOP 5 STOCK PICKS As we are rebranding our monthly...
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Intraday Alert
INTRADAY ALERT: July Core CPI at +0.17% supportive of rate cut cycle starting Sept. Shelter + Auto Insurance account for +0.21% of inflation in the month.
The July Core CPI came in at +0.17% MoM, a better than expected versus consensus of +0.19% MoM. This is now the 4th consecutive "soft"...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: While bottoms are a "process," a good July Core CPI tilts "risk-on" at least until Jackson Hole (8/22-8/24)
VIDEO: A good July Core CPI (<+0.25% MoM) might tilt markets to risk-on at least thru the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium 8/23 Please click below...
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First Word
INTRADAY ALERT: HANDHOLDING INTO WEEKEND: 7 upcoming events/catalysts to reverse de-risking due to "recession here and Fed made a mistake"
APOLOGIES. I HAVE BEEN IN TRANSIT CROSS COUNTRY LAST TWO DAYS, HENCE NO VIDEOS AND FEWER UPDATES. PLEASE READ THIS PRE-WEEKEND ANALYSIS CAREFULLY... VIDEO ON...
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First Word
INTRADAY ALERT: Over-reaction to July jobs miss. Soft jobs report still supports "soft landing" and gives Fed room for cuts. VIX surging 50% to 28 means panic, and short-term means sellers will be pressuring markets.
The July jobs report was a miss coming in at +114k vs +175k expected by the Street. The "miss" is triggering a major "risk off"...
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