Macro Strategy

- First Word

- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: $NVDA results beat consensus and "good enough" in our view for stocks to stabilize
VIDEO: $NVDA results were good enough in our view. This Friday is Jan Core PCE which will hopefully be softer than consensus. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:16). https://vimeo. com/1060692571/54155bb46a? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18. Full stock list here -> Click...

- First Word
Conference Board survey further adds to "growth scare" concerns. But we continue to see as a "flesh wound" and turnaround likely Wed with $NVDA results.
VIDEO: The cumulation of headlines in recent weeks is adding up to a "Growth scare" for investors. And thus, good news is what is needed to aid stocks. We expect $NVDA to be a key turning point Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:50). https://vimeo. com/1060316341/6d0572832b? share=copy Over the...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: White House Tariff Order on Canada, Mexico, China likely triggers risk-off short-term, but we list 5 reasons this is an "over-reaction" and we would buy the dip
VIDEO: Trump is imposing tariffs to stop the flow of drugs and illegal aliens, different than the trade war of 2018. Thus, while we expect...
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First Word
This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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- First Word
While tariff headlines continue to roil markets, multiple reasons to expect markets to find their footing before the April 2 tariff deadline
VIDEO: Equity markets continue to be roiled by White House headlines. While the tariff deadline is 3 weeks away, this doesn't means stocks will see pressure until 4/2. A look at the 1962 Cuban Missile crisis shows that markets bottomed ahead of the conclusion of the crisis. Please click below...
First Word
Santa rally faltering, but fundamentals remain solid. Weakness into YE arguably positive for gains in early 2025.
VIDEO: We view the weakness in equities since Dec 24th as largely due to profit taking and arguably the drop in market breadth is somewhat constructive...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Santa rally faltering, but fundamentals remain solid. Weakness into YE arguably positive for gains in early 2025.
VIDEO: We view the weakness in equities since Dec 24th as largely due to profit taking and arguably the drop in market breadth is somewhat constructive...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Mark Newton notes a bounce likely underway. 2025 setup still positive
VIDEO: We discuss how 20% back-to-back years cannot be viewed in isolation, and we should look at the preceding year or 2022. This puts 3-yr cumulative...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Spending bill signed, avoiding a govt shutdown = good news. S&P 500 oversold as % stocks >20dma fell to 7%
VIDEO: We discuss how the set up into the final 6 trading days of 2024 are positive. And we look at the changes to the Fed's...
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