Macro Strategy
- First Word
- First Word
March FOMC meeting Wed is key focus this week. Incoming data likely shows broadening weakess (but is it priced in?). And is $NVDA rally a sign China deal is near?
For the first time in awhile (weeks?), the weekend was quiet from a policy perspective (consider last Sunday’s “there will be pain”). And this likely adds to the equity markets regaining composure in the week ahead:The most important event this week (barring Washington news) is the Fed's March FOMC meeting...
- First Word
While tariff headlines continue to roil markets, multiple reasons to expect markets to find their footing before the April 2 tariff deadline
VIDEO: Equity markets continue to be roiled by White House headlines. While the tariff deadline is 3 weeks away, this doesn't means stocks will see pressure until 4/2. A look at the 1962 Cuban Missile crisis shows that markets bottomed ahead of the conclusion of the crisis. Please click below...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: $NVDA results beat consensus and "good enough" in our view for stocks to stabilize
VIDEO: $NVDA results were good enough in our view. This Friday is Jan Core PCE which will hopefully be softer than consensus. Please click below...
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First Word
Conference Board survey further adds to "growth scare" concerns. But we continue to see as a "flesh wound" and turnaround likely Wed with $NVDA results.
VIDEO: The cumulation of headlines in recent weeks is adding up to a "Growth scare" for investors. And thus, good news is what is needed...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Conference Board survey further adds to "growth scare" concerns. But we continue to see as a "flesh wound" and turnaround likely Wed with $NVDA results.
VIDEO: The cumulation of headlines in recent weeks is adding up to a "Growth scare" for investors. And thus, good news is what is needed...
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- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 6 reasons we believe Pres Trump wants stock market to rally post-Liberation day. And does political affiliation explain why the stock market and bond market disagree?
VIDEO: As Liberation day approaches, the key question is whether the White House cares how the stock market reacts. We discuss the 6 reasons President Trump wants the stock market to rally post-Liberation Day. And does political affiliation explain why the stock market and bond market disagree? Please click below...
First Word
This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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First Word
Jan FOMC and 4 Mag7 EPS reports likely support "buy the dip" post-DeepSeek AI panic. Watch the S&P 500 close on 1/31.
VIDEO: Wed is an important day to reinforce the "buy the dip" with 4 MAG7 set to report and Jan FOMC, which we expect to...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Jan FOMC and 4 Mag7 EPS reports likely support "buy the dip" post-DeepSeek AI panic. Watch the S&P 500 close on 1/31.
VIDEO: Wed is an important day to reinforce the "buy the dip" with 4 MAG7 set to report and Jan FOMC, which we expect to...
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