Macro Strategy
- First Word
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Conference Board survey further adds to "growth scare" concerns. But we continue to see as a "flesh wound" and turnaround likely Wed with $NVDA results.
VIDEO: The cumulation of headlines in recent weeks is adding up to a "Growth scare" for investors. And thus, good news is what is needed to aid stocks. We expect $NVDA to be a key turning point Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:50). https://vimeo. com/1060316341/6d0572832b? share=copy _____________________________ 45...
- First Word
The trading of NVDA into EPS is essentially the worst in 5 year, further adding to probability of a rally post-EPS Wed
VIDEO: NVDA has rarely seen negative returns into its earnings report and in past 8 weeks is down -3.7%. Outside of 2022 bear market, this has never happened Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:34). https://vimeo. com/1059925002/d5fe6f0e00? share=copy We have several important developments to highlight, including a continued pullback...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: White House Tariff Order on Canada, Mexico, China likely triggers risk-off short-term, but we list 5 reasons this is an "over-reaction" and we would buy the dip
VIDEO: Trump is imposing tariffs to stop the flow of drugs and illegal aliens, different than the trade war of 2018. Thus, while we expect...
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First Word
This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: The 20-day 10% correction in S&P 500 is 5th fastest in past 75 years. 5 prior declines were similar "knee jerk" reactions that saw gains 100% time 3M, 6M and 12M later
VIDEO: This 10% correction is the 5th fastest in the last 75 years and history argues this is indiscriminate rage selling. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 7:23). https://vimeo. com/1064868423/8dd2a3056c? share=copy [Video: Macro Minute: Equities continue to sell-off given lack of visibility of tariffs clouds near-term outlook but odds...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: S&P 500 closing above 5,881.63 on 1/8 (Wed) key to "first 5 days" -- don't let recency bias fuel bearish views.Video: Macro Minute:
VIDEO: We are closely watching the S&P 500 close on Wed 1/8 as this invokes the "rule of first 5 days" Please click below to view...
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First Word
2024 ending on a "whimper." Since 1928, weak final week = strong Jan 2025.
Equity markets are ending 2024 with a whimper. The S&P 500 has been down 4 of the 5 final trading days of 2024. Yet, equities...
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First Word
Santa rally faltering, but fundamentals remain solid. Weakness into YE arguably positive for gains in early 2025.
VIDEO: We view the weakness in equities since Dec 24th as largely due to profit taking and arguably the drop in market breadth is somewhat constructive...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Santa rally faltering, but fundamentals remain solid. Weakness into YE arguably positive for gains in early 2025.
VIDEO: We view the weakness in equities since Dec 24th as largely due to profit taking and arguably the drop in market breadth is somewhat constructive...
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