Macro Strategy
- Macro Minute Video
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Conference Board survey further adds to "growth scare" concerns. But we continue to see as a "flesh wound" and turnaround likely Wed with $NVDA results.
VIDEO: The cumulation of headlines in recent weeks is adding up to a "Growth scare" for investors. And thus, good news is what is needed to aid stocks. We expect $NVDA to be a key turning point Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:50). https://vimeo. com/1060316341/6d0572832b? share=copy _____________________________ 45...
- First Word
The trading of NVDA into EPS is essentially the worst in 5 year, further adding to probability of a rally post-EPS Wed
VIDEO: NVDA has rarely seen negative returns into its earnings report and in past 8 weeks is down -3.7%. Outside of 2022 bear market, this has never happened Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:34). https://vimeo. com/1059925002/d5fe6f0e00? share=copy We have several important developments to highlight, including a continued pullback...
First Word
White House Tariff Order on Canada, Mexico, China likely triggers risk-off short-term, but we list 5 reasons this is an "over-reaction" and we would buy the dip
VIDEO: Trump is imposing tariffs to stop the flow of drugs and illegal aliens, different than the trade war of 2018. Thus, while we expect...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: White House Tariff Order on Canada, Mexico, China likely triggers risk-off short-term, but we list 5 reasons this is an "over-reaction" and we would buy the dip
VIDEO: Trump is imposing tariffs to stop the flow of drugs and illegal aliens, different than the trade war of 2018. Thus, while we expect...
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First Word
This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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- First Word
Equities continue to sell-off given lack of visibility of tariffs clouds near-term outlook but odds rising of a dovish Fed
VIDEO: Equities failed to follow thru from Friday's bounce. We discuss several important events this week including the Biz Roundtable Tue and Wed CPI. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 7:46). https://vimeo. com/1064528155/225279623b? share=copy Markets experienced a challenging day today, as the S&P 500 fell sharply by 2.7%, marking the...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Rise in US 10-yr yields clearly pressuring stocks, but Newton (Head of Technical Strategy) sees lower yields by year-end. Day 5 of "first 5 days" is Wed 1/8
VIDEO: We believe the ISM services and commentary around tariffs is the reasons yields jumped higher today. But Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy, sees...
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First Word
S&P 500 closing above 5,881.63 on 1/8 (Wed) key to "first 5 days" -- don't let recency bias fuel bearish views.
VIDEO: We are closely watching the S&P 500 close on Wed 1/8 as this invokes the "rule of first 5 days" Please click below to view...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: S&P 500 closing above 5,881.63 on 1/8 (Wed) key to "first 5 days" -- don't let recency bias fuel bearish views.Video: Macro Minute:
VIDEO: We are closely watching the S&P 500 close on Wed 1/8 as this invokes the "rule of first 5 days" Please click below to view...
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First Word
2024 ending on a "whimper." Since 1928, weak final week = strong Jan 2025.
Equity markets are ending 2024 with a whimper. The S&P 500 has been down 4 of the 5 final trading days of 2024. Yet, equities...
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