Macro Strategy
- Intraday Alert
- First Word
Rise in US 10-yr yields clearly pressuring stocks, but Newton (Head of Technical Strategy) sees lower yields by year-end. Day 5 of "first 5 days" is Wed 1/8
VIDEO: We believe the ISM services and commentary around tariffs is the reasons yields jumped higher today. But Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy, sees this rise in yields as nearing a peak. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:18). https://vimeo. com/1044852619/d8b0503dfc? share=copy The S&P 500 is holding...
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Rise in US 10-yr yields clearly pressuring stocks, but Newton (Head of Technical Strategy) sees lower yields by year-end. Day 5 of "first 5 days" is Wed 1/8
VIDEO: We believe the ISM services and commentary around tariffs is the reasons yields jumped higher today. But Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy, sees this rise in yields as nearing a peak. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:18). https://vimeo. com/1044852619/d8b0503dfc? share=copy _____________________________ 44 SMID GRANNY SHOT...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: S&P 500 closing above 5,881.63 on 1/8 (Wed) key to "first 5 days" -- don't let recency bias fuel bearish views.Video: Macro Minute:
VIDEO: We are closely watching the S&P 500 close on Wed 1/8 as this invokes the "rule of first 5 days" Please click below to view...
First Word
2024 ending on a "whimper." Since 1928, weak final week = strong Jan 2025.
Equity markets are ending 2024 with a whimper. The S&P 500 has been down 4 of the 5 final trading days of 2024. Yet, equities...
First Word
Santa rally faltering, but fundamentals remain solid. Weakness into YE arguably positive for gains in early 2025.
VIDEO: We view the weakness in equities since Dec 24th as largely due to profit taking and arguably the drop in market breadth is somewhat constructive...
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: S&P 500 closes positive "first 5 days" which strengthens our base case for 6,600. Fed minutes show FOMC members see inflation drivers actually stalling, consistent with our view
VIDEO: The first 5 days was positive, which is a good omen. The FOMC minutes show Fed officials acknowledge core components inflation weakening, but uncertainty around trade keeps members more cautious. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:22). https://vimeo. com/1045179245/9b5bab4914? share=copy _____________________________ 44 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Spending bill signed, avoiding a govt shutdown = good news. S&P 500 oversold as % stocks >20dma fell to 7%
VIDEO: We discuss how the set up into the final 6 trading days of 2024 are positive. And we look at the changes to the Fed's...
First Word
We continue to see the steep drop from Wed (-3%) as a "buy the dip" moment. Fundamentals remain strong.
VIDEO: We discuss how the Fed remains dovish and fundamentals remain strong, thus, we are buying this deep dip. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration:...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: We continue to see the steep drop from Wed (-3%) as a "buy the dip" moment. Fundamentals remain strong.
VIDEO: We discuss how the Fed remains dovish and fundamentals remain strong, thus, we are buying this deep dip. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration:...
First Word
VIX surges 74%. 4 reasons probabilities argue this panic dip will be bought.
Equity markets fell sharply post-Dec FOMC rate decision, with losses of 3% to 5% across all major indices. The Fed is forecasting fewer cuts in...