Macro Strategy
- First Word
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: March FOMC shows a dovish Fed and affirms "Fed put" remains in place, 1 of 4 positives this week so far
VIDEO: We discuss 4 incremental positives this week, including signs a tariff deal might be reached before April 2. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:52). https://vimeo. com/1067579683/33a4f5a55c? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18. Full stock list here -> Click here ______________________________ PS:...
- First Word
March Super Granny and Super SMID Granny Market Update
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. Please click below to view our Macro Minute video (duration: 4:12). https://vimeo. com/1067149600/da81d7170a? share=copy SUPER GRANNIES: 5 SUPER AND 5 SLEEPER Back by popular demand, we are re-introducing our “Super Grannies” (most timely) and “Sleeper Grannies” large-cap...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: A "10 best days" probably coming this week. Since 1928, missing "10 best days" in a year cuts returns from 8% annually to -13% (or -2,100bp) and -2,200bp since 2015.
VIDEO: We are seeing signs of investor panic, and while many want to exit the market, the "rule of 10 best days" strongly argues against...
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First Word
Equity markets again buffeted by tariff headlines, but of the gauntlet of items this week, Tariff day might be the "worst"
VIDEO: It is clear markets are most bothered by tariffs, which go into effect just past midnight on 3/4. With the surge in VIX, and hedge...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Equity markets again buffeted by tariff headlines, but of the gauntlet of items this week, Tariff day might be the "worst"
VIDEO: It is clear markets are most bothered by tariffs, which go into effect tonight. With the surge in VIX, and hedge fund positioning lightening, it...
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- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Shock and negative awe at Liberation Day. But terms so absurd, probabilities favor negotiations. 6 nations key
VIDEO: the terms of Liberation were a negative surprise. But they are so absurd, that these look to be a negotiating tactic. And ultimately only 6 countries matter. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 11:23). https://vimeo. com/1072010033/c952521ccf? share=copy [Video: Macro Minute: 6 reasons we believe Pres Trump wants stock...
First Word
Despite "hot" Jan CPI, equity markets barely decline. 5 reasons we believe explains this mild reaction
VIDEO: We discuss 5 likely reasons equities barely reacted to a disappointing and "hot" Jan CPI report. Thu is Jan PPI and if it is...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Despite "hot" Jan CPI, equity markets barely decline. 5 reasons we believe explains this mild reaction
VIDEO: We discuss 5 likely reasons equities barely reacted to a disappointing and "hot" Jan CPI report. Thu is Jan PPI and if it is...
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First Word
Jan CPI (Wed) likely "calibrates" inflation views back to "falling towards 2%" = positive equity catalyst. Despite chop, we are buying the dip.
So far in 2025, equity markets have proven to be resilient, affirming that "buy the dip" remains the regime. There have been many "tape bombs"...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: We expect a positive week ahead, aided by what we expect to be a benign Jan CPI report Wed
VIDEO: The buy the dip regime remains intact and we expect Wed's Jan CPI to quell inflation worries. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration:...
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