Macro Strategy

- Macro Minute Video

- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 4 reasons we view last weeks -5% decline in Momentum stocks as only a "flesh wound"
VIDEO: We view the sell-off in momentum stocks/broad equities (last 2 days of last week) as a flesh wound. We highlight 4 reasons this week could see a recovery Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:53). https://vimeo. com/1059572815/6fbaddc3d2? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance...

- First Word
Investors continue to "buy the dip" as sentiment shows bearishness while markets touch all-time highs. This is a good sign.
VIDEO: Investors have been persistently bearish while S&P 500 making all-time highs. This is rare and in the past 40 years, only happened 11 times and forward returns are good Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 7:09). https://vimeo. com/1058811349/4cc36ece98? share=copy The S&P 500 is tracking for a flat week...
First Word
This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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First Word
Jan FOMC and 4 Mag7 EPS reports likely support "buy the dip" post-DeepSeek AI panic. Watch the S&P 500 close on 1/31.
VIDEO: Wed is an important day to reinforce the "buy the dip" with 4 MAG7 set to report and Jan FOMC, which we expect to...
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- First Word
Weak Feb ADP jobs might be harbinger of a weak Fri jobs report = return of Fed + Trump put
VIDEO: Today had first signs of capitulatory behavior as weak ADP report brought odds of a May Fed cut to 45% early in the day. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 6:11). https://vimeo. com/1062988958/f1f23f394e? share=copy While stocks could initially face volatility from a potentially soft February jobs report this...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Rise in US 10-yr yields clearly pressuring stocks, but Newton (Head of Technical Strategy) sees lower yields by year-end. Day 5 of "first 5 days" is Wed 1/8
VIDEO: We believe the ISM services and commentary around tariffs is the reasons yields jumped higher today. But Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy, sees...
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First Word
S&P 500 closing above 5,881.63 on 1/8 (Wed) key to "first 5 days" -- don't let recency bias fuel bearish views.
VIDEO: We are closely watching the S&P 500 close on Wed 1/8 as this invokes the "rule of first 5 days" Please click below to view...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: S&P 500 closing above 5,881.63 on 1/8 (Wed) key to "first 5 days" -- don't let recency bias fuel bearish views.Video: Macro Minute:
VIDEO: We are closely watching the S&P 500 close on Wed 1/8 as this invokes the "rule of first 5 days" Please click below to view...
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First Word
2024 ending on a "whimper." Since 1928, weak final week = strong Jan 2025.
Equity markets are ending 2024 with a whimper. The S&P 500 has been down 4 of the 5 final trading days of 2024. Yet, equities...
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