Macro Strategy
- First Word
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Over the weekend, tariff war appearing increasingly targeted and a reminder Trump "put" exists. Raises probability of a strong rally in the coming weeks
VIDEO: There were positive developments over the weekend and we now see the increased probability of a sharp rally starting possibly this week Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:41). https://vimeo. com/1068677765/ae7ba451e3? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18. Full stock list here...
- First Word
A look back at 2018 suggests that stocks likely rally post-tariff announcement (4/2) driven by likely drop in VIX (volatility)
VIDEO: We look at back at 2018 and we see stocks recovered from tariff news and rallied strongly. One of the fuels in 2025 is we see the possibility of a sizable drop in the VIX across all future expirations. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:27). https://vimeo. com/1067959984/9d45092b42?...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Last Friday was important as it showed economy facing "less of a growth scare" while we saw incrementally positive glimmers of both the Trump "put" and Fed "put"
VIDEO: Friday was an important day last week as we saw incrementally positive glimmers of a Trump and Fed put, while economy holding up better...
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First Word
Today is first signs "Trump put" returning. But stocks weaken as markets see a deteriorating economic outlook. Friday jobs key
VIDEO: Today saw the first signs that the "Trump put" might be returning. But growth worries weigh on stocks. Please click below to view our Macro...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Today is first signs "Trump put" returning. But stocks weaken as markets see a deteriorating economic outlook. Friday jobs key
VIDEO: Today saw the first signs that the "Trump put" might be returning. But growth worries weigh on stocks. Please click below to view our Macro...
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- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Thursday’s negative -3% gap opening is 7th largest in 40 years and echoes of COVID. But after the close, hints that Trump wants to negotiate = positive
VIDEO: Market saw enormous selling pressure driven by the absurd levels of tariffs and the repeated comments by Lutnick that there is no negotiations. After the close, Trump stated the opposite and views tariffs as giving great power to negotiate Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 7:13). https://vimeo. com/1072399975/0be97a3446?...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 4 reasons we view last weeks -5% decline in Momentum stocks as only a "flesh wound"
VIDEO: We view the sell-off in momentum stocks/broad equities (last 2 days of last week) as a flesh wound. We highlight 4 reasons this week...
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First Word
Investors continue to "buy the dip" as sentiment shows bearishness while markets touch all-time highs. This is a good sign.
VIDEO: Investors have been persistently bearish while S&P 500 making all-time highs. This is rare and in the past 40 years, only happened 11 times...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Investors continue to "buy the dip" as sentiment shows bearishness while markets touch all-time highs. This is a good sign.
VIDEO: Investors have been persistently bearish while S&P 500 making all-time highs. This is rare and in the past 40 years, only happened 11 times...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Client surveys show 53% cite tariffs/deportation as the biggest risk... but low VIX warns "never short a dull market
VIDEO: Equity markets staged what we view as an upside breakout on positive fundamental news and encouraging sentiment developments Please click below to view our Macro...
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