Macro Strategy
- Macro Minute Video
- First Word
4 reasons we view last weeks -5% decline in Momentum stocks as only a "flesh wound"
VIDEO: We view the sell-off in momentum stocks/broad equities (last 2 days of last week) as a flesh wound. We highlight 4 reasons this week could see a recovery Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:53). https://vimeo. com/1059572815/6fbaddc3d2? share=copy The last 2 trading days of last week saw a...
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 4 reasons we view last weeks -5% decline in Momentum stocks as only a "flesh wound"
VIDEO: We view the sell-off in momentum stocks/broad equities (last 2 days of last week) as a flesh wound. We highlight 4 reasons this week could see a recovery Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:53). https://vimeo. com/1059572815/6fbaddc3d2? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance...
First Word
White House Tariff Order on Canada, Mexico, China likely triggers risk-off short-term, but we list 5 reasons this is an "over-reaction" and we would buy the dip
VIDEO: Trump is imposing tariffs to stop the flow of drugs and illegal aliens, different than the trade war of 2018. Thus, while we expect...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: White House Tariff Order on Canada, Mexico, China likely triggers risk-off short-term, but we list 5 reasons this is an "over-reaction" and we would buy the dip
VIDEO: Trump is imposing tariffs to stop the flow of drugs and illegal aliens, different than the trade war of 2018. Thus, while we expect...
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First Word
This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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- First Word
Weak Feb ADP jobs might be harbinger of a weak Fri jobs report = return of Fed + Trump put
VIDEO: Today had first signs of capitulatory behavior as weak ADP report brought odds of a May Fed cut to 45% early in the day. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 6:11). https://vimeo. com/1062988958/f1f23f394e? share=copy While stocks could initially face volatility from a potentially soft February jobs report this...
Intraday Alert
It's politics...U Mich inflation surge solely political divide. Rep see +0.1% vs Dems see +4.2%... Yup
Equity markets are under selling pressure due in part to a solid jobs report (actually a good thing) and intensified by a "really hot" U...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: S&P 500 closes positive "first 5 days" which strengthens our base case for 6,600. Fed minutes show FOMC members see inflation drivers actually stalling, consistent with our view
VIDEO: The first 5 days was positive, which is a good omen. The FOMC minutes show Fed officials acknowledge core components inflation weakening, but uncertainty...
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First Word
Rise in US 10-yr yields clearly pressuring stocks, but Newton (Head of Technical Strategy) sees lower yields by year-end. Day 5 of "first 5 days" is Wed 1/8
VIDEO: We believe the ISM services and commentary around tariffs is the reasons yields jumped higher today. But Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy, sees...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Rise in US 10-yr yields clearly pressuring stocks, but Newton (Head of Technical Strategy) sees lower yields by year-end. Day 5 of "first 5 days" is Wed 1/8
VIDEO: We believe the ISM services and commentary around tariffs is the reasons yields jumped higher today. But Mark Newton, Head of Technical Strategy, sees...
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