Macro Strategy
- Macro Minute Video
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: The trading of NVDA into EPS is essentially the worst in 5 year, further adding to probability of a rally post-EPS Wed
VIDEO: NVDA has rarely seen negative returns into its earnings report and in past 8 weeks is down -3.7%. Outside of 2022 bear market, this has never happened Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:34). https://vimeo. com/1059925002/d5fe6f0e00? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on...
- First Word
4 reasons we view last weeks -5% decline in Momentum stocks as only a "flesh wound"
VIDEO: We view the sell-off in momentum stocks/broad equities (last 2 days of last week) as a flesh wound. We highlight 4 reasons this week could see a recovery Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:53). https://vimeo. com/1059572815/6fbaddc3d2? share=copy The last 2 trading days of last week saw a...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: GOOG 2025 capex guidance increase shows AI/data-center visibility strong. Jan ISM upturn points to accelerating small-cap EPS growth.
VIDEO: Incoming data supports equity prices. The ISM manufacturing also suggests small-cap EPS to accelerate in 2025. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:58)....
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: TARIFFS: Equity markets "over-reacted" and glad to see positive developments thru the day
VIDEO: TARIFF UPDATE: Border concessions by Mexico and Canada suggest this is a "drug war. Creation of Sov wealth fund is now a "third put"...
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First Word
White House Tariff Order on Canada, Mexico, China likely triggers risk-off short-term, but we list 5 reasons this is an "over-reaction" and we would buy the dip
VIDEO: Trump is imposing tariffs to stop the flow of drugs and illegal aliens, different than the trade war of 2018. Thus, while we expect...
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- First Word
Weak Feb ADP jobs might be harbinger of a weak Fri jobs report = return of Fed + Trump put
VIDEO: Today had first signs of capitulatory behavior as weak ADP report brought odds of a May Fed cut to 45% early in the day. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 6:11). https://vimeo. com/1062988958/f1f23f394e? share=copy While stocks could initially face volatility from a potentially soft February jobs report this...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 4 reasons markets could find a bottom this Wed
VIDEO: There is a regime change underway, resulting in stocks performing better when yields start to fall. We think this window could start this Wed....
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First Word
Important macro week ahead with CPI, PPI and also 4Q24 earnings season starts with $JPM and others.
VIDEO: We discuss how the macro has muddled in the past few weeks stemming from multiple factors but the fundamentals remain intact. Technicals however remain...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Important macro week ahead with CPI, PPI and also 4Q24 earnings season starts with $JPM and others.
VIDEO: We discuss how the macro has muddled in the past few weeks stemming from multiple factors but the fundamentals remain intact. Technicals however remain...
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Intraday Alert
It's politics...U Mich inflation surge solely political divide. Rep see +0.1% vs Dems see +4.2%... Yup
Equity markets are under selling pressure due in part to a solid jobs report (actually a good thing) and intensified by a "really hot" U...
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