Macro Strategy
- First Word
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Case-Shiller April price data (Tue 9am ET) likely to confirm home prices YoY set to roll over. Also, Bitcoin selloff from Mt Gox only temporary
VIDEO: The year ago Case-Shiller home prices were rising ~0.80% MoM April thru Sept, and the pace in 2024 is more like +0.30% MoM. This means home prices YoY are set to rollover hard = affirming future shelter inflation falling. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:31). https://vimeo. com/967083962/0b390645ea?...
- First Word
As we enter final week of June, global economy strengthened while inflation weakened = stocks up for "right" reasons and well setup for July
VIDEO: As we enter final week of June, the global economy's fundamentals strengthened this month, while inflation weakened = stocks up for the right reasons Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 3:37). https://vimeo. com/966242402/2f50341fb4? share=copy As we enter the final week of June, the global economy strengthened this month...
First Word
May jobs report is key event to cap this week. We are buyers of stocks on Friday, but even stronger if the jobs report is soft.
VIDEO: The macro data this week has been supportive of softening inflation, hence, rise in expected Fed cuts this year to 2.0, but the key...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: May jobs report is key event to cap this week. We are buyers of stocks on Friday, but even stronger if the jobs report is soft.
VIDEO: The macro data this week has been supportive of softening inflation, hence, rise in expected Fed cuts this year to 2.0, but the key...
First Word
JOLTS misses by -2.8 std dev as job market cools sharply = "bad news is good news." Rally at close in each of last 3 days is sign of institutional accumulation.
VIDEO: Stocks are inching higher in this first week of June. Notably, buying has taken place at the end of the day, which is historically...
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 5 reasons June CPI gave "green light" for small-caps to continue to rally. Failed assassination attempt against Trump positive for Bitcoin, Cyclicals.
VIDEO: The astonishingly low June CPI is giving the green light for small-caps to rally. We discuss how large a rally we could expect Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 6:05). https://vimeo. com/984052617/55686e3787? share=copy _____________________________ 36 GRANNY SHOT IDEAS AND 44 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on...
First Word
INTRADAY ALERT: April Core CPI +0.29% MoM is a good thing, with auto insurance and shelter easing. Supports stocks higher in May.
THIS INTRADAY ALERT IS SENT SOLELY TO MEMBERS OF FS INSIGHT April Core CPI came in at +0.29% MoM, below Street consensus of +0.30%. This...
First Word
APRIL CPI WED AM: A good April CPI shatters "inflation accelerating" camp, meaning number of Fed cuts by YE 2024 starts to drift higher towards 2.0-2.5
VIDEO: The April CPI report is one of the most important of 2024. The early release of April PPI might give us a clue for...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: APRIL CPI WED AM: A good April CPI shatters "inflation accelerating" camp, meaning number of Fed cuts by YE 2024 starts to drift higher towards 2.0-2.5
VIDEO: The April CPI report is one of the most important of 2024. The early release of April PPI might give us a clue for...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: April Core CPI (Wed) comes to swing of housing and auto insurance. We expect +0.29% or better = good vs consensus of +0.30%
VIDEO: The Fed has maintained a dovish tilt because it is waiting for housing and auto insurance to cool. The first signs could be April...
