Macro Strategy
- First Word
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Even as White House wants lower rates (via DOGE, tariffs, etc), they want to avoid “stall speed” or recession, which means White House “put” still exists.
VIDEO: We believe the White House "put" still exists, as the White House wants to avoid an economy stalling into a recession. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 9:39). https://vimeo. com/1061108493/a947d58d7b? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18. Full stock list here -> Click...
- First Word
$NVDA results beat consensus and "good enough" in our view for stocks to stabilize
VIDEO: $NVDA results were good enough in our view. This Friday is Jan Core PCE, which will hopefully be softer than consensus. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:16). https://vimeo. com/1060692571/54155bb46a? share=copy It’s been a critical week for markets with key earnings announcements alongside economic data. A busy week for earnings...
First Word
Equities finally stage upside breakout on "bad news" = 2025 proving stocks remain resilient and resistant (so far) to large sell-off.
VIDEO: Equity markets staged what we view as an upside breakout on positive fundamental news and encouraging sentiment developments Please click below to view our Macro...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Equities finally stage upside breakout on "bad news" = 2025 proving stocks remain resilient and resistant (so far) to large sell-off.
VIDEO: Equity markets staged what we view as an upside breakout on positive fundamental news and encouraging sentiment developments Please click below to view our Macro...
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First Word
Despite "hot" Jan CPI, equity markets barely decline. 5 reasons we believe explains this mild reaction
VIDEO: We discuss 5 likely reasons equities barely reacted to a disappointing and "hot" Jan CPI report. Thu is Jan PPI and if it is...
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- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Last Friday was important as it showed economy facing "less of a growth scare" while we saw incrementally positive glimmers of both the Trump "put" and Fed "put"
VIDEO: Friday was an important day last week as we saw incrementally positive glimmers of a Trump and Fed put, while economy holding up better than expected. Also Mark Newton thinks we potentially bottomed but follow thru needed this week. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:39). https://vimeo. com/1064100304/5b06949d66?...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Jan FOMC and 4 Mag7 EPS reports likely support "buy the dip" post-DeepSeek AI panic. Watch the S&P 500 close on 1/31.
VIDEO: Wed is an important day to reinforce the "buy the dip" with 4 MAG7 set to report and Jan FOMC, which we expect to...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: BTND: NVDA -17% fall Monday is the 9th worst ever in a day and only 4th since when US not in recession/bear. 3 prior times marked a "bottom tick"
VIDEO: Deepseek's release of its AI model sent investors into a panic, but we list reasons this is overblown. Please click below to view our Macro...
First Word
Jan FOMC rate decision (Wed) likely highlights dovish Fed (vs consensus). January 31 close key = 6th reason 2025 tracking better
VIDEO: We are watching 3 things closely this week: 4Q24 EPS as insurance and MAG7 report; Jan FOMC Wed and January 31 price close Please...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Jan FOMC rate decision (Wed) likely highlights dovish Fed (vs consensus). January 31 close key = 6th reason 2025 tracking better
VIDEO: We are watching 3 things closely this week: 4Q24 EPS as insurance and MAG7 report; Jan FOMC Wed and January 31 price close Please...
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