Macro Strategy

- Macro Minute Video

- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This week could bring both the Fed "put" and Trump "put" back into play, post-Feb jobs report. Last Friday's "stocks rise on bad news" was a good sign.
VIDEO: This week is shaping up to be a critical week, when there could be panic about a bad jobs report (fri) but this brings both the Fed "put" and Trump "put" back in play Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 8:08). https://vimeo. com/1061861181/65a8ace7b8? share=copy _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY...

- First Word
Even as White House wants lower rates (via DOGE, tariffs, etc), they want to avoid "stall speed" or recession, which means White House "put" still exists.
VIDEO: We believe the White House "put" still exists, as the White House wants to avoid an economy stalling into a recession. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 9:39). https://vimeo. com/1061108493/a947d58d7b? share=copy Stocks fell under intense selling pressure Thursday, falling 5 of the last 6 trading days. Also yesterday,...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Client surveys show 53% cite tariffs/deportation as the biggest risk... but low VIX warns "never short a dull market
VIDEO: Equity markets staged what we view as an upside breakout on positive fundamental news and encouraging sentiment developments Please click below to view our Macro...
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First Word
Client surveys show 53% cite tariffs/deportation as the biggest risk... but low VIX warns "never short a dull market
VIDEO: Equity markets staged what we view as an upside breakout on positive fundamental news and encouraging sentiment developments. Please click below to view our Macro...
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First Word
February Super Granny and Super SMID Granny Market Update + SMID Granny February Rebalance +25 adds/ -24 deletes.
TO DOWNLOAD THE SLIDE DECK FOR OUR MARKET UPDATE WEBINAR, PLEASE CLICK HERE. VIDEO: We discuss our macro views 6 weeks into 2025 including the...
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- First Word
Last Friday was important as it showed economy facing "less of a growth scare" while we saw incrementally positive glimmers of both the Trump "put" and Fed "put"
VIDEO: Friday was an important day last week as we saw incrementally positive glimmers of a Trump and Fed put, while economy holding up better than expected. Also Mark Newton thinks we potentially bottomed but follow thru needed this week. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:39). https://vimeo. com/1064100304/5b06949d66?...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: White House Tariff Order on Canada, Mexico, China likely triggers risk-off short-term, but we list 5 reasons this is an "over-reaction" and we would buy the dip
VIDEO: Trump is imposing tariffs to stop the flow of drugs and illegal aliens, different than the trade war of 2018. Thus, while we expect...
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First Word
This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This past week as a successful test of "resolve of bulls." Fri Dec Core PCE likely benign = good
VIDEO: While the S&P 500 is down slightly for the week, we believe this is a successful positive test of "resolve of bulls" given there...
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First Word
Jan FOMC and 4 Mag7 EPS reports likely support "buy the dip" post-DeepSeek AI panic. Watch the S&P 500 close on 1/31.
VIDEO: Wed is an important day to reinforce the "buy the dip" with 4 MAG7 set to report and Jan FOMC, which we expect to...
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