Macro Strategy
- Macro Minute Video
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: 6 reasons we believe Pres Trump wants stock market to rally post-Liberation day. And does political affiliation explain why the stock market and bond market disagree?
VIDEO: As Liberation day approaches, the key question is whether the White House cares how the stock market reacts. We discuss the 6 reasons President Trump wants the stock market to rally post-Liberation Day. And does political affiliation explain why the stock market and bond market disagree? Please click below...
- First Word
Monday positive reversal from -1% open is a good sign. Also encouraging to see $TSLA $MSTR #BTC outperform since 3/13/25
VIDEO: The positive reversal Monday is encouraging but there remains quite a bit of uncertainty ahead. What is notable is that several of MAG7 have stabilized in relative performance since 3/13/25 Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 6:06). https://vimeo. com/1071210087/1dc4ebdad1? share=copy Markets kicked off the week with surprising resilience...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Over the weekend, tariff war appearing increasingly targeted and a reminder Trump "put" exists. Raises probability of a strong rally in the coming weeks
VIDEO: There were positive developments over the weekend and we now see the increased probability of a sharp rally starting possibly this week Please click...
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First Word
A look back at 2018 suggests that stocks likely rally post-tariff announcement (4/2) driven by likely drop in VIX (volatility)
VIDEO: We look at back at 2018 and we see stocks recovered from tariff news and rallied strongly. One of the fuels in 2025 is...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: A look back at 2018 suggests that stocks likely rally post-tariff announcement (4/2) driven by likely drop in VIX (volatility)
VIDEO: We look at back at 2018 and we see stocks recovered from tariff news and rallied strongly. One of the fuels in 2025 is...
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- First Word
Reciprocal tariffs started last night. Markets remain hesitant as financial conditions tighten, but agree with Newton that near-term probabilities favor a rally.
NO VIDEO TODAY: I AM ON A CONTINENTAL FLIGHT TODAY SO UNABLE TO RECORD A VIDEO The fact that President Trump signed the executive order for 104% tariffs for China is not positive, but it was also mostly expected. Every single day since tariff "Liberation Day" has brought news events...
Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: The 20-day 10% correction in S&P 500 is 5th fastest in past 75 years. 5 prior declines were similar "knee jerk" reactions that saw gains 100% time 3M, 6M and 12M later
VIDEO: This 10% correction is the 5th fastest in the last 75 years and history argues this is indiscriminate rage selling. Please click below to...
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First Word
Equities continue to sell-off given lack of visibility of tariffs clouds near-term outlook but odds rising of a dovish Fed
VIDEO: Equities failed to follow thru from Friday's bounce. We discuss several important events this week including the Biz Roundtable Tue and Wed CPI. Please click...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Equities continue to sell-off given lack of visibility of tariffs clouds near-term outlook but odds rising of a dovish Fed
VIDEO: Equities failed to follow thru from Friday's bounce. We discuss several important events this week including the Biz Roundtable Tue and Wed CPI. Please click...
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First Word
Last Friday was important as it showed economy facing "less of a growth scare" while we saw incrementally positive glimmers of both the Trump "put" and Fed "put"
VIDEO: Friday was an important day last week as we saw incrementally positive glimmers of a Trump and Fed put, while economy holding up better...
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