Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: This week's June Core CPI and 2Q25 EPS season are likely the positive catalysts to push S&P 500 to upside breakout... following Bitcoin surge
VIDEO: Bitcoin has been leading the S&P 500 by about a month. And the recent upside breakout in Bitcoin bodes well for S&P 500. We see the...
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First Word
June Core CPI Tuesday is the most consequential day next week, since will impact on Fed timing of cuts. 2Q25 EPS season also starts next week.
VIDEO: Next week is a heavy week of macro led by June core CPI and also the start of 2Q25 earning season. The Fed is...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: June Core CPI Tuesday is the most consequential day next week, since will impact on Fed timing of cuts. 2Q25 EPS season also starts next week.
VIDEO: Next week is a heavy week of macro led by June core CPI and also the start of 2Q25 earning season. The Fed is...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Revisiting the 3 things we are watching in July --> tracking. June FOMC minutes show inflation concerns diminishing except for tariffs
VIDEO: At the start of this month, we discussed the 3 key things we are watching: (i) July 9th tariff deadline; (ii) July FOMC (end...
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First Word
Mostly good news in the June NY Fed survey. 1-yr inflation back to pre-tariff levels, when the Fed was in "cutting mode."
Video: The June NY Fed consumer survey showed widespread good news for consumers, including 1-yr inflation expectations back to pre-tariff levels (when Fed was cutting),...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Mostly good news in the June NY Fed survey. 1-yr inflation back to pre-tariff levels, when the Fed was in "cutting mode."
VIDEO: The June NY Fed consumer survey showed widespread good news for consumers, including 1-yr inflation expectations back to pre-tariff levels (when Fed was cutting),...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: After 6 Black Swans, the S&P 500 equal weight P/E shrank from 17.6X to 16.9X... which is why we see P/E expansion next few years
VIDEO: The fact the S&P 500 faced 6 Black Swans in the past 5 years and yet managed to grow earnings is testament to the...
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First Word
July showing pullbacks remain shallow. The continued strength in high-yield shows the economy remains healthy.
VIDEO: Ahead of the June jobs report, bonds markets are quietly pricing in 2.6 cuts versus 1.7 after June FOMC. This while high yield spreads...
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Macro Minute Video
First Word
3 things we are watching in July. Investors still stubbornly bearish after +28% gain from April lows.
VIDEO: We are keeping a "side eye" on a few things in July, including tariff deadlines, FOMC rate decision and the favorable seasonals. The latest...
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