Macro Strategy
- First Word
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Shock and negative awe at Liberation Day. But terms so absurd, probabilities favor negotiations. 6 nations key
VIDEO: the terms of Liberation were a negative surprise. But they are so absurd, that these look to be a negotiating tactic. And ultimately only 6 countries matter. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 11:23). https://vimeo. com/1072010033/c952521ccf? share=copy [Video: Macro Minute: 6 reasons we believe Pres Trump wants stock...
- First Word
6 reasons we believe Pres Trump wants stock market to rally post-Liberation day. And does political affiliation explain why the stock market and bond market disagree?
VIDEO: As Liberation day approaches, the key question is whether the White House cares how the stock market reacts. We discuss the 6 reasons President Trump wants the stock market to rally post-Liberation Day. And does political affiliation explain why the stock market and bond market disagree? Please click below...
First Word
S&P 500 close above 5,703 confirms rally underway. $TSLA remains "Exhibit A" for a V-shaped recovery and why a Trump "put" exists
VIDEO: We discuss several positive technical developments today and why $TSLA is Exhibit A on whether there is a V-shaped recovery in stocks and of...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: S&P 500 close above 5,703 confirms rally underway. $TSLA remains "Exhibit A" for a V-shaped recovery and why a Trump "put" exists
VIDEO: We discuss several positive technical developments today and why $TSLA is Exhibit A on whether there is a V-shaped recovery in stocks and of...
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First Word
Over the weekend, tariff war appearing increasingly targeted and a reminder Trump "put" exists. Raises probability of a strong rally in the coming weeks
VIDEO: There were positive developments over the weekend and we now see the increased probability of a sharp rally starting possibly this week Please click...
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- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Trump "put" confirmed, alleviating important pressure value and confirming fork to the positive case
VIDEO: Wednesday was an important day because it signaled a turn in the White House and a turn of economic trajectory Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 05:44). https://vimeo. com/1074096918/faa114195e? share=copy ------------------------- _____________________________ 45 SMID GRANNY SHOT IDEAS: We performed our quarterly rebalance on 2/18. Full stock list here -> Click...
First Word
While tariff headlines continue to roil markets, multiple reasons to expect markets to find their footing before the April 2 tariff deadline
VIDEO: Equity markets continue to be roiled by White House headlines. While the tariff deadline is 3 weeks away, this doesn't means stocks will see...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: While tariff headlines continue to roil markets, multiple reasons to expect markets to find their footing before the April 2 tariff deadline
VIDEO: Equity markets continue to be roiled by White House headlines. While the tariff deadline is 3 weeks away, this doesn't means stocks will see...
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Intraday Alert
Feb Core CPI downside +0.23% MoM better than "seasonal" fears and outright good
Feb Core CPI came in at +0.23% MoM, which is better than consensus of +0.29% MoM and the number is clean. That is, the downside...
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First Word
The 20-day 10% correction in S&P 500 is 5th fastest in past 75 years. 5 prior declines were similar "knee jerk" reactions that saw gains 100% time 3M, 6M and 12M later
VIDEO: This 10% correction is the 5th fastest in the last 75 years and history argues this is indiscriminate rage selling. Please click below to...
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