Macro Strategy
- Macro Minute Video
- Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: A "10 best days" probably coming this week. Since 1928, missing "10 best days" in a year cuts returns from 8% annually to -13% (or -2,100bp) and -2,200bp since 2015.
VIDEO: We are seeing signs of investor panic, and while many want to exit the market, the "rule of 10 best days" strongly argues against market timing. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:03). https://vimeo. com/1062616926/a4d5cd19f0? share=copy [Video: Macro Minute: Equity markets again buffeted by tariff headlines, but of...
- First Word
Equity markets again buffeted by tariff headlines, but of the gauntlet of items this week, Tariff day might be the "worst"
VIDEO: It is clear markets are most bothered by tariffs, which go into effect just past midnight on 3/4. With the surge in VIX, and hedge fund positioning lightening, it does set up for good risk/reward for the remainder of the week Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 4:17). https://vimeo....
First Word
The trading of NVDA into EPS is essentially the worst in 5 year, further adding to probability of a rally post-EPS Wed
VIDEO: NVDA has rarely seen negative returns into its earnings report and in past 8 weeks is down -3.7%. Outside of 2022 bear market, this...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: The trading of NVDA into EPS is essentially the worst in 5 year, further adding to probability of a rally post-EPS Wed
VIDEO: NVDA has rarely seen negative returns into its earnings report and in past 8 weeks is down -3.7%. Outside of 2022 bear market, this...
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First Word
4 reasons we view last weeks -5% decline in Momentum stocks as only a "flesh wound"
VIDEO: We view the sell-off in momentum stocks/broad equities (last 2 days of last week) as a flesh wound. We highlight 4 reasons this week...
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- First Word
Equities continue to sell-off given lack of visibility of tariffs clouds near-term outlook but odds rising of a dovish Fed
VIDEO: Equities failed to follow thru from Friday's bounce. We discuss several important events this week including the Biz Roundtable Tue and Wed CPI. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 7:46). https://vimeo. com/1064528155/225279623b? share=copy Markets experienced a challenging day today, as the S&P 500 fell sharply by 2.7%, marking the...
First Word
Jan CPI (Wed) likely "calibrates" inflation views back to "falling towards 2%" = positive equity catalyst. Despite chop, we are buying the dip.
So far in 2025, equity markets have proven to be resilient, affirming that "buy the dip" remains the regime. There have been many "tape bombs"...
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: We expect a positive week ahead, aided by what we expect to be a benign Jan CPI report Wed
VIDEO: The buy the dip regime remains intact and we expect Wed's Jan CPI to quell inflation worries. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration:...
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First Word
Week tracking for a slight gain, another sign of market resilience. Jan jobs (Fri) could pull forward a rate cut.
VIDEO: Overall, its been a good week, with equities showing resilience. The jobs report matters on Friday. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:39)....
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Macro Minute Video
Video: Macro Minute: Week tracking for a slight gain, another sign of market resilience. Jan jobs (Fri) could pull forward a rate cut.
VIDEO: Overall, its been a good week, with equities showing resilience. The jobs report matters on Friday. Please click below to view our Macro Minute (duration: 5:39)....
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