Intraday Alert
MARKETING DECK: Looking ahead to 2026 argues for P/E expansion
OFF-SIDES: 5 REASONS INVESTORS ARE OFF-SIDESRECESSION COMING = SELL USA EQUITIESSUPPLY CHAIN HIT = SHORT US CYCLICALS & SMALL-CAPSVIX SURGE = INSTITUTIONS FORCED TO DE-RISKEND...
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Intraday Alert
Feb Core CPI downside +0.23% MoM better than "seasonal" fears and outright good
Feb Core CPI came in at +0.23% MoM, which is better than consensus of +0.29% MoM and the number is clean. That is, the downside...
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Intraday Alert
It's politics...U Mich inflation surge solely political divide. Rep see +0.1% vs Dems see +4.2%... Yup
Equity markets are under selling pressure due in part to a solid jobs report (actually a good thing) and intensified by a "really hot" U...
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Intraday Alert
Oct Core PCE +0.27% MoM is +0.23% ex-magazines. Affirms inflation "falling like a rock" and Fed stays dovish
Today's Oct Core PCE came in at +0.27% MoM, slightly better than consensus of +0.28%. The YoY came in at +2.80% YoY. The details of...
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Intraday Alert
MARKETING DECK: Stay on Target - Trump "put" + Fed "put" Positive for stocks
PROBABILITIES FAVOR A THANKSGIVING RALLY… ▪ Treasury Sec. annc’t removes “uncertainty” TRUMP "PUT" ▪ Fed “slowing cuts” still dovish FED "PUT" ▪ Nvidia earnings a...
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Intraday Alert
Oct Core CPI +0.28% MoM distorted by 30% rise in used car prices (ummm...no way). Sets stage for inflation to "fall like a rock" rest of year
The Oct CPI report is better than appears at first glance. And we think this is supportive of stocks continuing to rally into year-end, albeit...
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