History shows probabilities favor S&P 500 7,000 by YE25 given YTD gains. Gov't shutdown = no jobs report Friday but weak ADP = "dovish" Fed

The government shutdown started at Wed 12:01am ET and this means that we will not be getting data from BLS or any agency until the shutdown is over. But we think this is a "sidebar" issue and probabilities heavily favor stocks strong from Oct to Dec this year -- in fact, we see S&P 500 reaching at least 7,000 by year-end and maybe higher.

The government shutdown lasted 35 days in Dec 2018 and this would be a long stretch. In fact, it would be so long, the Fed would not have any new data...

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