VIX cooling + Spec futures flipping = incremental signs selling exhausted. Still key macro week

The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

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We discuss: We discuss how several headwinds are left behind as Oct comes to a close.  And the key to watch in Nov is the relationship between stocks and bonds.

Please click below to view our Macro Minute (Duration: 5:46).

The video in this report is only accessible to members
The video in this report is only accessible to members

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The S&P 500 gained >2% in the past two trading sessions, enough so that the losses for October are -2.2% (better than the -5%-ish loss seen at the start of the week.) For most of October, and for much of the past few weeks, stocks often weakened into the close. But in the past two days, stocks strengthened through the day. Have investors de-risked enough for selling to dry up? Possibly.

A few overhangs are also removed with October:- tax loss selling for stocks and bonds (first time really ever)- VIX seasonal peak (below)- Stocks often bottom in October On tax loss selling, the BofA trading desk has a great chart showing stocks likely to see "tax loss selling" fell -8% in October, far worse than the broader market. But keep this in mind, these same stocks could bounce sharply in the final two months as the selling abates. Spot V...

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